Saturday, 31 July 2010

Glorious Goodwood, Saturday

The final day of Glorious Goodwood today and a much needed profitable day.

We had two account bets.

First up was Midday, 4pt win @ 2/1.
9/4 was available briefly with Stan James and in hindsight we could have sent the email our earlier to take this price but we don't like restricting members to just one stand out price if possible.
The recent rain that arrived, along with the course being watered played to her strengths.
This race had been her long term target for some time now and the word was that she was working fantastically at home.

She travelled well throughout and showed a devastating turn of foot to hit the front with 2 furlongs to run. She shot clear, only to appear to idle in front. When she was joined by Stacelita though she kicked on again and won pretty comfortably.

We also backed Roger Charlton's Genki in the Stewards Cup. 1pt e/w @ 8/1.
Another horse who has been aimed at this race for a while it was thought he may still be well handicapped.

He never really got into the race though in all honesty and was pretty disappointing.

A profit on the day and we have ended the month in profit, albeit only 0.7 points!
The majority of our selections ran well, although this last week made a dent in the months profits.

We have lots lined up for August and are expecting to really be able to kick on and have a great month.

There may be a bet tomorrow. We have our eye on one but will know more in the morning.

Thanks for reading

Friday, 30 July 2010

Free August membership competition

We have 5 free SimpleBet memberships for August to give away.
Simply email "August" to to enter.

5 people will be chosen at random for a free month.
The offer is open to new and existing members. Offer ends 31st July at 5pm.

New members will get a membership for the month of August. Existing members will get an extra month added to their current membership.

Don't delay, mail today!


Thursday, 29 July 2010

Glorious Goodwood, Thursday

After a great weekend, Goodwood has been anything but Glorious for us so far this week.

We had two account bets today. Both were very well backed but neither troubled the judge.

London Stripe, 2pt win @ 4/1 was thought of as possibly a group horse running in a handicap.
The form of the stable was a slight concern so we kept stakes low.
He was well supported (as all our selections have been this week) and traded as low as 1.6 in running but weakened inside the final furlong to finish mid division.

We also backed Flying Cloud, 3pt win @ 9/4.
She ran a great race last time out to finish 2nd in a race where many of her competitors were fancied and was expected to go one better today.
Again, well supported down to 6/4 at the off, she was travelling well and making ground two furlongs out but hampered. She lost all momentum from there and couldn't reach the leaders only managing 5th.

A disappointing week so far but there is almost certainly one bet tomorrow.

Strangely, July has been a poor month for us in general.
We lost around 30 points in July 08 and 09. We are currently just over 3 points down so far this month which is very frustrating.
July really should be one of our best months as the ground is generally stable and most horses are running as consistently as the every will be.

One member suggested we should take the month off next year and that may not be a bad shout!

Hopefully we will end the month in much better style over the next 2 days as we hate losing months, even if its just a few points.

Thanks for reading

Wednesday, 28 July 2010

Glorious Goodwood, Wednesday

Two account bets today but no luck.

First up we had Crown Prosecutor, 3pt win @ 2/1.
A horse that has won two from two so far, including a course win which is often useful at Goodwood. It is thought he might go to the very top class.
He was well backed down to 6/4 at the off but lost all chance when very badly hampered on the turn, with around half a mile to go.
He recovered well but had run his race by the time be joined the leaders with a furlong to go and faded from there.
Even without the trouble in running though he probably wouldn't have beaten the very impressive winner, King Torus.

We also backed Bideeya, 2pt e/w @ 4/1 up at Redcar.
This one went wrong last time when fancied and connections were hoping she could make up for that today.
Again though she was fairly disappointing and could only manage 4th.

More great racing again tomorrow but as usual its very competative.

There should be at least one account bet though.

Thanks for reading

Tuesday, 27 July 2010

Glorious Goodwood, Tuesday

Great racing today and we had one small account bet.

Riggins, 1pt e/w @ 12/1 our only bet on a very tricky days racing.
We have backed him on most of his starts to date and although he was upped in class today it was thought that the race may well pan out in his favour. (Fast pace to suit his late finish)
He was very well supported and went off a 7/1 chance.
The race did pan out as expected with a fast pace set by Dalghar but Riggins didn't have the class to pick up enough to make a telling challenge.
He finish 6th, although beaten just under 3 lengths.

Elsewhere there were a few good words that were.
Yamal in the opener. Very disappointing.
Stone Of Folca in the 4.00. Ran a great race despite pulling very hard. Beaten by a great ride from a good winner in the shape of Zebedee.
5.05 Big Issue. Has just finished second.

Tomorrows racing looks similar, in that it is very trappy in general.There will probably be an account bet but not for certain at this stage.

We have a couple of stronger bets to look forward to later in the week.

Thanks for reading

Monday, 26 July 2010

No hat trick

After a great day on Saturday with two winners from two bets we failed to make it a third on the trot today.

There was a good word all morning for Tijori, 2pt win @ 7/4.
Lots of support for this one saw the price collapse into odds on before drifting back out just before the off to 11/8 due to substantial support for the eventual winner, Majestic Dream - who was backed into 2/1 from 3/1.
The race itself was quite a messy affair and Tijori didn't get a great run when trying for a gap with around 300 yards to go and wasn't overly pushed from there when it was apparent he couldn't win.
To be fair he was never going to beat the winner who may go on to better things, especially when upped in trip.

Fortunately we only staked 2 points as we didn't know too much about the opposition.
Quite often we can rule a few runners out for one reason or another which obviously turns the tables very much in our favour. Other than a good word for Tijori today there were no negative words for anything in the race, hence the small stakes.

Glorious Goodwood starts tomorrow and there will amost certainly be at least one account bet.
We are also waiting for a big bet at the Galway Festival later in the week but that one is ground dependant.

So, some good racing to come this week and we are expecting a very good week.

Lets hope it all goes to plan!

Thanks for reading

Saturday, 24 July 2010

Thats more like it!!

Much more like it today with 2 winners from 2 account bets and over 20 points profit.

First up we had a very confident account bet that we sent out to members at 6pm on Friday.
Miss Zooter, 5pt win @ 7/2 was a very confident pick after an extremely unlucky run just over two weeks ago when an account bet.
We blogged on the 7th July about how unlucky this horse was in running last time out when finishing 7th and we word was that she had improved further since then.
Always travelly well she went on to win the race quite comfortably. The result wasn't in doubt from 2 furlongs out as she was already trading 1.1 on Betfair at that time.

She will improve further for this win and if she makes another appearance this season is one to keep on the right side of.

Our second bet of the day was Common Touch, 3pt win @ 2/1.
One of the nicest two year olds in the yard we flagged this up as the yards best chance of a winner today.
When he missed the break and stumbled immediately after the gates opened we feared the it wasn't to be and he drifted markedly in running.
However, he soon picked up the idea of the game and showed great resolution to wear down Squires Gate inside the final furlong.
This was a fantastic performance for two reasons.
Firstly, the missed break and early trouble in running makes him value for much further than the half length winning margin.
Secondly, the runner up, Squires Gate is a very nice horse in his own right and was a strong account bet for us first time out. He was quietly fancied this morning after being given some time off after his last race.
Fortunately the word for Common Touch was much stronger and we made the right call.

Some fairly decent racing tomorrow and there is every chance there will be an account bet.

Glorious Goodwood starts on Tuesday and there is a lot to look forward to there.

Thanks for reading

Change of luck?

Two account bets yesterday, the first one possibly signalling a change of luck for the better.

We backed, Cathedral Spires, 4pt win @ 15/8.
We had been waiting for this runner for a while and it was very frustrating to watch the price tumble while we were waiting for the bookies to price the race up.
We had our email typed up and ready to go at just after 7am but had to wait until just after 9am when the first markets opened to send it. He was closer to 7/2 at 7am on Betfair, having been matched at 10 overnight (reduced to 9.13 after the rule 4)
We have toyed with the idea of advising Betfair prices so we can send some bets out earlier but the majority of members didn't favour that idea as the prices can be too volatile and not everyone can get on.
Anyway, we took the 15/8 and he continued to be well backed into evens at the off.

He led, pretty much from the start but looked set to be beaten as he was headed inside the final furlong. He battled back bravely to get back up on the line though for what looked at first watch a good performance.
On watching the race again though the second, Ice Trooper, wasn't given the strongest of rides so perhaps we were lucky with that one.
A winner is a winner though and after a very unlucky month or two its nice to get one going our way.

We also backed King Of Eden, 4pt win @ 9/4.
This one continues to improve and it is thought he may make into a group race performer in time.
He ran a pretty good race, despite being niggled along halfway through the race and looked set to win with a furlong to go. The winner came with a decent run though and we could only manage 3rd.
He possibly wasn't running on the fastest part of the track but connections are also aware that he has had a lot of racing in the last couple of months and a short rest may be in order.

We sent out one early account bet for today which has already been well backed as expected.
There should be at least one more account bet to come before 12.30.

Glorious Goodwood starts on Tuesday, on of our favourite meetings of the year.
We have a few bets lined up already and are hoping for a very profitable end to the month.

Thanks for reading

Wednesday, 21 July 2010

More seconds

More frustration today with a second and an unplaced from our two bets.

Our first bet was Jacobs Son, 2pt win @ 9/2.
Coming to hand at home big improvement was expected for this one and it was certainly forthcoming.
He ran a cracking race coming from well off the pace, only just failing to get up on the line by a short head.
A couple of furlongs out he looked to have it all to do, with Frankie looking behind for dangers on the winner but he finished like a train and was ahead one stride after the line.

Our second bet of the day was very disappointing.
Ancient Greece, 2pt win @ 10/1 was fancied to run a big race if he stayed the extra distance.
He travelled well enough until the last half a mile or so when he started to fade and was virtually pulled up approaching the line. A drop back in trip looks likely next time out.

Jacons Son finishing second was out 5th account bet to finish second out of 17 bets this month. Very frustrating.

We have said many times that these spells happen and with a bit of luck these seconds will become winners very soon.

There is a possibility of a bet tomorrow but its more than likely our next bet will be Friday, where we have a plot horse lined up.

Thanks for reading

Tuesday, 20 July 2010

All wrong

Some days everything goes right. Some days everything goes wrong.

Today was the latter where we got it completely wrong.

One account bet for us but first up was our old 'friend' Elkmait.
We have backed her on all 3 runs to date but she has been intent on ruining her chances before the race started by getting upset in the stalls.
We mentioned her in our email to members but only to say we were leaving her alone until she wins a race as we can't keep throwing money at her.

Typically, she went in the stalls last, didn't play up at all and then  came out to win easily by around 7 lengths. Finally proving why connections feel she is a group horse in the making.

Another one who connections feel could make up into a decent horse was our only account bet today.
Lamasaas, 5pt win @ 2/1 is potentially a very good horse and thought to be much better than his opponents today.
He was well backed all day so the on course drift was no real surprise as the on course bookies obviously hadn't taken any money on him all day.

He missed the break by about 6 lengths and it was always a losing battle from there on in.
He also didn't help himself by running pretty green and lugging left handed throughout and could only finish about 6th.

Very disappointing when we get it so wrong but it does happen. We had a call to make but after sticking with Elkmait for 3 losing runs we decided we had to cut our losses.
We have already had a few emails from members who stuck with Elkmait though, so well done to them.

Its always a difficult question, whats worse - backing a loser or not backing a winner?
We managed to do both of those things today so aren't best placed to answer that!

We still have a couple of strong bets lined up for later in the week and hopefully we can redress the balance from today.

Thanks for reading

Monday, 19 July 2010

Weekend catchup

Playing catch up again with the blog but should be back to normal from now on...

Two account bets for us on Saturday resulting in a profitable day.

We kicked off with Ishbelle, 3pt win @ 15/8.
She was said to have come on a ton for her debut outing both mentally and physically and a big run was expected.
There were quite a few runners in opposition that we knew nothing about so kept the staking sensible; possibly too sensible in hindsight!
She pretty much led from the stalls and went on to draw away to win easily by 3 and a half lengths. She was still fairly green and will come on further for this win.

We also had a speculative bet with Jira, 2pt win @ 16/1.
A frustrating horse who shows plenty at home but has failed to show that homework on the track so far in her career.
She was fitted with the headgear in the hope that she might finally click. Because of this and the fact there were only seven runners we played win only.
After missing the break she showed plenty of speed and was in the lead with half a mile to go, from where she weakened. Connections thing she may have a slight back injury which also seems the case with Friday's bet Hawkeyethenoo. Very strange.

We went straight from Newbury to Ireland for the racing on Sunday.
Great racing but not a day for betting with the rain that fell. The track became very sticky and the horses were very drawn out from last to first.
A great atmosphere though and a thoroughly enjoyable day.

No bet today but we have a couple of decent bets lined up for later in the week.

Hopefully the weather will sort itself out and Summer will return as certain parts of the UK have been wet while others have been pretty much bone dry.

Thanks for reading

Saturday, 17 July 2010

Friday catchup

Its been a busy couple of days for one reason or another so we are running a bit behind with the blog.

Two account bets yesterday with no luck.

First up was Avertor, 3pt win @ 3/1.
Rogers yard are now running into some fantastic form, which is good for us in the longer term. This one was expected to improve for a period away from the track and the drop back in trip.
He travelled well enough throughout the race but the drop back in trip didn't look to be in his favour as he struggled to find a turn of foot inside the final furlong and could only manage 3rd.

We also backed the disappointing Hawkeyethenoo, 3pt win @ 9/4.
A slight drop in class for this one, after running a great race in Ireland last time out he was fancied to land this decent prize.
There was trouble in the stalls as he started to get upset and that in turn upset the runner in the stall next to him.
That can't really be used as an excuse though as he never travelled throughout the race and finished well down the field. Not a great run, even though he was on the wrong side of the track.

Two account bets today, including one that could cause a real surprise at big odds if things go to plan.

We are off to Ireland straight after Newbury today so the next blog and results page update will be on Monday.

There may be a bet tomorrow but we will be keeping a close eye on the ground.

Thanks for reading

Thursday, 15 July 2010

Brilliant Bakers!

One account bet for us yesterday, Stefanki 4pt win @ 9/4.
This horse had switched yards to George Baker's and had settled in nicely, showing up very well at home.
Thought to be well handicapped on what he was showing at home, connections were on early and the money was down big time.

He missed the break somewhat and was settled at the back but once Tony Culhane brought him round the field approaching the final furlong there was only going to be one outcome.
He went on to be a very comfortable winner by just over 3 lengths at a well backed 6/4.

We said recently, the Baker yard know how to get one ready!

Our last 4 bets from the yard have yielded 2 winners and 2 arguably unlucky seconds.

Had the price for Explorator been better that would have been 3 winners from 5 runners.
We were hoping for 6/4 ish about this one, in which case we had a maximum bet lined up. Unfortunately he opened up odds on and although drifting slightly before the off, returned 4/6.
He was made to sweat for his win slightly with Sheila's Bond - possibly an unlucky loser - running a great race in second place.

This month has ben very frustrating as far as profits go. We are 3 points down for the month.
However, almost every bet has run well.
Of the 10 bets we have had 2 winners, 2 seconds, 3 thirds and 2 unplaced. Only Elkmait and Srda have run poorly.

Hopefully this will continue, but with more winners than placed efforts.

Lots of rain around the country today and we have nothing lined up as yet. We will wait to see what the morning phone calls bring to see if there is a bet or not.

Thanks for reading

Monday, 12 July 2010


Nearly but not quite was the order of the day with both our account bets finishing second, in similar style.

Both our bets were George Baker runners, ridden by Matthew Davies.
First up was Aragall, 4pt win @ 11/4.
This ex German horse has been fancied on both his runs to date and was strongly fancied today.
He was dropped in and given quite a bit to do by Matthew. He made quiet a bit of ground with a couple of furlongs to go but was never quite getting there.
The winner, Shabok Hom was given a good ride by Joe Fanning who pinched the race by kicking on with a couple of furlongs to run.

Similar story with our second bet, Romantic Queen, 3pt win @ 5/2.
Dropped in at the back she came through very strongly approaching the final furlong but failed by a length.
She traded 1.16 in running and certainly looked like she would get up but it wasn't to be.
Can't really blame Matthew here as she had a poor draw and needs to be ridden from well off the pace. These things happen and our luck will turn around soon.

We have now had 4 of our 9 account bets finishing second so far this month.
2 have been 3rd, 2 unplaced and one winner.

Thanks for reading

Sunday, 11 July 2010

Not quite a cracker

Two account bets yesterday but Citrus Star, 2pt e/w @ 7/1 was a non runner.
He played up and refused to go in the stalls so we were left with just one bet.

Perfect Cracker, 3pt win @ 11/4 (best odds guaranteed returned 10/3) was reported to be one of the nicest two year olds in the yard.
They had waited until a 7 furlong race was available as the horse looks a thorough stayer at home and will get a lot further in time.
He ran well enough and looked to have a decent chance with a furlong to go but was rather one paced from there and could only finish 3rd.
The winner, Measuring Time and the second, Mazante could well be horses to stay on the right side of as this was a fairly decent race.

Elsewhere there was some fantastic racing taking place yesterday.
A superb (and very brave) ride by George Baker on Premio Loco to win the group 2 race.
We considered an account bet on this one but there was also a very strong word for Dream Eater so we left the race alone. It would have been a very nervy race to watch if our money was down!

It was also nice to see Greylami winning with ease for the late Terry Mills. We backed this as an account bet at a big price a couple of months ago when he finished lame.

Awful racing today. Mid July and the only racing on offer in England is over the sticks. Very strange race planning...

A couple of strong account bets to look forward to this week, especially on Wednesday and Friday all being well.

Thanks for reading

Thursday, 8 July 2010


One small account bet for members today, Night Lily 2pt win @ 4/1
Thought to be set to run a big race for a drop in both class and grade she was well backed into 5/2 by the off.
She ran a good race and may well have been beaten by a good ride on the winner rather than anything else.
She was never travelling fantastically but stayed on down the middle of the track, never looking likely to catch the winner who was brought down the stands side rail. She finished second, beaten a length and a half.

Elsewhere, we were wise to stay away from Newmarket where the early results in particular were carnage for punters.

We have a probable bet lined up for tomorrow and one already for Saturday.

Thanks for reading

Wednesday, 7 July 2010

Excellent Explorator

A good day for members today that could have been a fantastic one with a bit more luck.

We started with Miss Zooter, 2pt e/w @ 7/1.
Taking a drop back in trip and a downgrade in class, connections felt this one may have got into this race quite lightly.
She was well backed into 5/1 by the off . Things were spot on until they went in the stalls!
She missed the break and the official form line is "in rear, not clear run 1f out, switched right and ran on towards finish under a hand ride, not reached leaders"
In truth it was more like "not clear run for 7 furlongs"
Its hard to say she would definately have won with a clear run but she would have finished a lot closer.
Fortunately the Channel 4 commentary team didn't make too much of a big deal about how unlucky she was so we may get a price next time out.

Our second bet of the day landed a right old touch.
Explorator, 4pt win @ 3/1 was well backed all day.
Improvement was expected for his handicap debut, now he was stepped up to a more appropriate distance. Improvement certainly came.
He was held up at the back of the pack and niggled along slightly after 4 furlongs or so. He stayed on consistently well from there and hit the front with a furlong or so to go and drew away.
A comfortable winner, landing a nice touch, he returned at 11/8.

We have another one or two to look out for from George Baker's yard over the next week or so.
They really are one of the best yards in the land to land a touch.

Elsewhere there were good words for two or three other horses that we could have backed.
Two of these also didn't get the clearest of runs so we won't mention their names as they may well be account bets soon. One has an entry for the weekend.

There should be a bet tomorrow but thats not certain until we take a few calls in the morning.

Thanks for reading

Sunday, 4 July 2010

Saturday update

A blank Saturday for us unfortunately, mainly due to more highly strung horse anticts!

We backed Group Therapy 3pt win @ 3/1 firstly.
He ponied to start and then proceeded to play up going into the stalls. Similar to Elkmait he was also pretty keen but still hit the front with a furlong or so to go and looked as though he might hold on.
He was caught inside the last 50 yards by Triple Aspect though. The playing up before the start may or may not have made the difference between first and second place.

Unfortunately no such excuse with our second bet, Srda 1pt e/w @ 16/1
There was a withdrawl, bringing the race down to 7 runners which is always frustrating for punters.
It didn't affect our bet though as she struggled throughout and was never close enough to land a blow. A disappointing run.

Poor racing today and tomorrow is typical Monday stuff.
We may still have a bet tomorrow though as there is one of interest.

Later in the week looks much busier.
There is some cracking racing to look forward to this week. We have 5 or so bets lined up.

Elsewhere, we are imposing a limit on the number of members we are accepting to ensure everyone can get the prices quoted.
This is due to a few requests by members who, quite rightly, want to make sure the price is available for everyone for as long as possible after our bets go out.
We still have places left and everyone who is currently a member will be able to renew.

We will update the blog and the website when we are close to our full allocation.

Thanks for reading

Thursday, 1 July 2010

No longer our mait...

One account bet for us today, Elkmait, 3pt win @ 11/2. (best odds guaranteed returned 6/1)
We have backed this one on all 3 of her starts to date but it may be time to call a halt to things after today.
First time out she ran a great race for a horse that connections believe is potentially group class at minimum.
Since then she has thrown her chances away before the race started and that was a similar story today. She got very excited in the paddock and reared in the stalls (as she did last time) before the race started.
When they were underway she was far too keen and with there only being 4 runners, could find no cover.
She kept on at one pace to finish 3rd but never looked like winning.

We will keep an eye on her but she may be one that is best left alone until she wins a race.

Connections are still adamant that this is a very nice horse and we haven't seen the best of her yet but we will see.

There will probably be a bet tomorrow and we have a couple already lined up for the weekend.

Thanks for reading