Tuesday 31 May 2011

Weekly updates/June competition...

We are looking at ways to cut down on our admin and one of those is to cut down on the amount of blogs we do.
The admin side of things is one of the least enjoyable parts of this job and we are cutting down on this in any way we can. Therefore we will be blogging once or twice a week with updates rather than almost daily.

On the plus side, we are running a June competition as our January one was such a sucess.

10 people will get membership until the end of 2011 for just £50 (the current cost of one month) and all you need to do to enter is email us quoting 'June'
Thats almost 7 months membership for the cost of just one month!

You have until midday on Sunday 5th June to enter and the offer is open to new and existing members.
Winners must pay within 48 hours of their place will be offered to someone else.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

Sunday 29 May 2011

Weekend Catchup

Three bets on Saturday and one on Sunday.

First up on Saturday was 2.15 Es Que Love, 4pt win @ 6/4.
This horse is the best two year old on the yard but threw away the race first time up when veering badly when the race looked sewn up.
If we could be sure he wouldn't do similar he would have been a maximum bet.

There was no real worry as he broke well and made all to win easily by just over 3 lengths.

Second up was 2.30, Triviality, 4pt win @ 9/4.
This one ran well on debut and was fancied to improve on that assuming he took to the turf.

He couldn't go the pace early on and despite staying on towatds the final furlong could only finish 4th.

Our final bet on Saturday was 4.45 Pink Sapphire 4pt win @11/8.
This horse is on of the nicer two year olds on the yard and was fancied tio make a winning debut.

Very well supported he went off an odds on favourite.
He travelled well and was in a strong position with a couple of furlongs to go but faded inside the final furlong.
A strange run and lots of money lost for connections on this one.

One bet for us today.

3.00 Baroque Star 1pt e/w @ 33/1 had been let down by his jumping of late.
He has been very well schooled and was expected to put in an improved performance today.

He started very sluggishly, jumping the first two fences slowly and was soon trading at 500 on Betfair.
However, he got the hang of things and was given a very good strong ride to get up for 3rd close home. A nice priced place bet landed.

A small profit over the weekend but we were hoping for a lot better.

Lots to look forward to the week including the Derby meeting of course.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

Friday 27 May 2011

Still not quite happening

Two account bets today.

First up was Samitar, 2pt e/w @ 8/1.
This horse has been working very nicely with some of the beter two year olds in the yard and was expected to put in a big performance today.

She travelled nicely in the fronk rank throughout before being headed in the final furlong.
She stayed on well to get 3rd, beaten just under a length in 3rd place.

The first 3 home pulled 4 lengths clear of the remainder so the winner, Regal Realm and the second, Gamilati are worth keeping an eye on.

Second up was Blanche Dubawi, 3pt win @ 4/1.
This horse needed her first run of the season and was expected to run very well today, dropped in trip.

Another horse that travelled very nicely in running. She was with the leaders for much of the race and challenged for the lead inside the final furlong, trading 1.45 in running.
She veered under pressure and wandered over the track and could only finish second.

If she would have won the race had she kept to a straight line is questionable but it would certainly have been interesting.
Another one to keep an eye on.

We should have at least two account bets tomorrow.

In other news, we are looking to make some changes to the service over the next month or so.
Price, membership limit, late info by text etc.
If you have any suggestions please get in touch with us by email. The details are on our website.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

Thursday 26 May 2011

Delayed catchup

Running a bit behind with the blog, apologies.

Three account bets to catch up on.

On Saturday we backed Rose Blossom 2pt e/w @ 20/1
This horse is exceptionally speedy and if she could get an early lead had a great chance.

She went off a 14/1 chance and ran a respectable race to finish 6th even though she didn't get the early lead.
Keep an eye on this one as she will win a big race over 5 furlongs on fast ground this year.

On Monday we backed George Baker 4pt win @ 9/4
The penny has finally dropped with this horse and they yard thought he may still be handicapped. He was going to continue to run until he got beaten and then be rested for a while.

Its rest time as he didn't run much of a race and was well beaten.

Yesterday we backed The Nifty Fox, 3pt win @ 6/1
There was a good word for this consistent horse who was expected to put in an improved show with the headgear back on.

He ran a cracker and was just nailed on the line by Ginger Ted and beaten a neck.
The winner ran a great race and just squeezed through a gap with a furlong to run to stay on strongly and get up close home.
No excuses for our runner but on another day that gap might not have been there for the winner to squeeze through. Such is racing life!

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/ 

Thursday 19 May 2011

No Rockin Good

One account bet for us today.

5.35 Rock My World, 4pt win @ 3/1 was thought to be on a nice mark for this handicap.
This lightly raced filly has filled out nicely over the close season and was expected to be too good for her opponents today.

The race didn't really go to plan and became a very bunched affair with a couple of furlongs to go. She got no run but in truth she wasn't travelling too well when the bunching happened so that may be clutching at straws for an excuse.

She is much better than she showed today and it might be worth not giving up on her just yet.

There is a chance of a bet tomorrow but we do have a bet lined up for Saturday that will probably be sent out on Friday evening.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

25/1 second

Two account bets for us yesterday.

First up was 3.55 St Oswald, 3pt win @ 9/4.
This one had been gelded over the close season and was thought to have come on for his first run of the new season. The step up in trip was expected to be another bonus.

He went off a 15/8 favourite but was very slowly away and immediately in the rear.
He seemed to struggle to get into the race proper and was pushed along throughout, finishing mid division.
Missing the break made no real difference as he didn't look to be good enough, even with a level break.

Second up was 5.25 Twisted, 1pt e/w @ 20/1. (B.O.G. paid 25/1)
This one had come on for his first outing over timber and although he was up against a long odds on favourite, connections believed he was a great each way bet.

He was held up near the rear for much of the race and stayed on very well to finish second.
Although the winner (Odin's Raven) won fairly comfortably he made a couple of bad jumping errors including one at the last. Not the easiest of rides for anyone backing a 1/5 chance.

A small profit on the day on what has been a quiet week so far.

There will probably be an account bet today but not certain just yet.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/ 

Monday 16 May 2011

Not so Dominant

Quick catch up from Saturday...

One account bet for us, sent out early as we expected good support.

3.10 Dominant, 4pt win @ 5/2 was a very unlucky loser for us last time out when getting no run at a crucial time.
Although he went up 6lbs for that race he had improved for the run and was well fancied here.

He went off a well backed 13/8 chance although there was a small rule 4.

Signs were ominous early on when he pulled far too hard. He made some decent progress with about half a mile to run but didn't find a lot inside the last furlong and was well beaten.

The winner, Al Kazeem was thought to be a gallop or two short of full fitness so this was a very impressive performance by that one.

There is a chance of a bet today but nothing certain as yet.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/ 

Friday 13 May 2011

Poor Dev, Super Miss

Two account bets for members today.

First up was 1.30 Miss Work Of Art, 6pt win @ 6/4.
We sent this out last night as we expected her price to be smashed up.
A very impressive filly who worked superbly earlier in the week she was fully expected to put in a winning run today.

She was backed right down to 8/13 before surprisingly drifting out to 6/5 on course. There was a slight rule 4 from our 6/4 making the price almost identical.

She tracked the leaders and was shaken up with a couple of furlongs to run. She got down to her job in fine style and went away to win by a fairly comfortable length.
A nice 6 point bet landed, albeit at a fairly short price.

Second up was 5.50, Devlin 4pt win @ 2/1. (B.O.G. paid 11/4)
We are used to our selections being very well supported but this time we were caught at our own game.
Bapak Chinta was backed off the boards into a 1/2 favourite. It was clear we were up against a very smart newcomer.
It mattered not as Devlin was too bad to be true. He nevr travelled at any stage of the race and finished last of the four runners.

Bapak Chinta won with ease so the money certainly was well placed.

Overall another profitable day for us.

Most days now we could have up to five account bets, there is so much information flying about.
We are having to pick our punches carefully and are mostly getting it right even though the odd bad run is still happening like Devlin  today.

We have one early account bet for members tomorrow that has already been sent. We are expecting another well supported horse.

There is a good possibility of another account bet. We will know more tomorrow.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/ 

Thursday 12 May 2011

A good day, could have been superb

Two account bets for us today.

First up was 4.10, Hadrians Rule 1pt e/w @ 16/1
This horse has been showing all the right signs at home and connections have waited for a 6 furlong race as he will get further in time. We sent our bets our at around 8.45 this morning as we expected them both to be well supported.

To say this runner was well supported is an understatement as he went off a 5/1 joint second favourite!The amount of money it takes to do this at a major meeting like York's Dante meeting should not be underestimated.

Unfortunately the racing gods still aren't looking down on us too kindly as the gates opened and all the horses started in a line... except ours.
He dwelt in the stalls and was left around 12 - 15 lengths. 75 on Betfair within 50 yards!

He showed a good deal of speed and although he had no chance of winning from that break he actually traded just 8.2 in running.
One for the notebook. Unfortunately everyone saw how unlucky this runner was and the cat is out of the bag. He won't be 16/1 next time out!

Second up was 4.55, George Baker 3pt win @ 11/4.
The original plan with this horse was to get some PR for the stable as George Baker could win the race, ridden by George Baker and owned by George Baker!
That plan was a while ago though and it took him 15 races to lose his maiden tag.

Now he has won the yard were keen to strike while the iron was hot and follow up in this race.

Another one to come in for a lot of money he went off the 11/8 favourite.

He broke well and from halfway the result was never in danger. The official formline was "tracked leaders, smooth headway over 2f out, led over 1f out, came clear final furlong, easily"

So a decent day for us but as we have said all too often it could have been so much better with some luck.

With Hadrians Rule today along with Haylaman and Beautiful Sound being beaten short heads we could easily be 50 points in profit for the month.
No point moaning about it though as we are boring ourselves, let alone anyone else!

Lots lined up including a strong account bet for tomorrow that has already been sent out to members. We expect this one to be well supported as well.
There will almost certainly be another strong account bet tomorrow, assuming the price is right.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

Wednesday 11 May 2011

Day 1 @ York

One small account bet for us today.

1.30, Taqleed, 2pt win @ 11/2
We backed this one in the Lincoln when he was withdrawn. Connections have believed he was a group horse in the making for a while and the slight bit of cut in the ground was an advantage.

In short, its unlikely he is a group horse as he was mid division for much of the race and didn't show anything special.
The ground was possibly a bit faster that it was thought to be - with the hindsight of watching the full card - but thats clutching at straws for excuses for this run.

Fortunately we staked small, but a disappointing run all the same.


More good racing tomorrow and we should have at least one account bet including a probable big priced runner in the first..

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/ 

Monday 9 May 2011

Big gamble, not landed though

One account bet for us today.

5.20, Dashing Eddie, 2pt e/w @ 8/1
The 8/1 went as soon as our email was sent so we settled this at 7/1 for our accounts. - Not that it mattered in the end!
This horse has filled out well over the winter and was well fancied by connections today.

Very well supported all day, he went off the 4/1 second favourite.
He broke well and was in a handy position on the near side. He looked to be travelling well with about 3 furlongs to run and touched 6/4 in running on Betfair in running.
He found very little from there though and could only finish mid division.

A strange run and there seem to be no excuses. Its possible the horse just wasn't as good as connections thought. Certainly a fair amount of money went astray on this one.

There is an interesting horse running tonight.
Benny's Well in the 8.30 is well fancied and has been supported accordingly. Unfortunately there is a good word for Flat Cap Thursday in the same race so no bets for us.

Some great racing coming up this week with a fair few bets planned.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/ 

Saturday 7 May 2011

Change of luck... for an hour!

Two strong account bets today.

First up was Bounty Box, 5pt win @ 10/3.
This filly had much in her favour today. She was much fitter for her first run of the season, would be suited by the rain softened ground and was up against her own sex.
One of our strongest bets for a while. We were hoping this horse could start to change our flat season round with an impressive win.

Our selection broke well and bagged the rails.
She always looked in command and held on well to win by just under a length.

So, maybe the change had come? For an hour or so...

Second up was Beautiful Sound, 3pt win @ 3/1.
This one has narrowly missed the cut to run in the Irish Grand National.
Said to be still in fine fettle after running a decent race at Cheltenham a big run was expected today.

He was well supported down to 9/4 at the off and was up with the pace on the wide outside for much of the race.
He was kept to the outside throughout, even when making some decent progress with three to jump - now trading odds on in running.
With 2 to jump it just looked a question of if he would catch the leader, Shakalakaboomboom.
That horse made a bad blunder over the last and Beautiful Sound took up the lead, only for Shakalakaboomboom to battle back and do us on the line.

We have already had quite a few emails from members about the ride Davy Russell gave our selection. Unfortunately, the best horse came second on the day.

Very close to a fantastic day, again.
We seem to be saying this so often these days and are really trying not to sound like a broken record.

Our last 3 selections have seen a 10/3 winner, a 15/2 second by a short head and a 3/1 second by a short head. The onfo seems to be largely spot on, we are just a few centimetres away from some big payouts.

At some point these short heads will be on our side, we just have to remain patient.

On the plus side, we got the staking right today with a nice 5 point bet winning making for a decent profit on the day.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/ 

Wrong side of a photo finish

One small account bet for us yesterday. Another 'close but no cigar' moment!

Haylaman, 2pt win @ 15/2 was fancied partly because there were strong negative vibes for some of his opponents. Of the 5 runners, we knew 2 weren't fancied at all because of the very fast going.
Our selection has wintered well and was expected to put in a good show despite being the outsider of the 5 runners.

Our selection sat in a handy 3rd place for the first half of the race and made some nice progress with 3 furlongs or so to go.
He chased after the leader inside the final furlong and looked like he was always going to just get there. He traded as low as 1.13 on Betfair in running but just failed to get up by a short head.

Yet another close run thing and things aren't quite going our way just now.

We had a few emails suggesting Tom (jockey) could have given him a much stronger ride and didn't seem to use the whip as much as he could have.
Thats possibly true but this was a lightly raced horse and he will improve for the run and a big season is expected to lie ahead of him. Doesn't help us in the short turn but thats the way it is sometimes.

Two strong bets for us today and hopefully the racing gods will look more kindly on us soon, starting at 3.30 today.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/ 

Wednesday 4 May 2011

No luck in running at Chester shocker!

One account bet for us today.

Blue Jack, 3pt win @ 6/1 was strongly fancied by the yard today.
They were sponsoring some of the card and were looking to get on the scoresheet with this runner.
He runs well fresh and this race had been the target for a while now.

We played win only as the race can be lost in an instant round the tight bends of Chester but with a clear run our selection was expected to win.

Sure enough, our race was over within the first 100 yards as our selection was hampered coming out of the stalls and was soon in the last couple of runners, ruining what was a good draw.

From there he ran well enough on the inside and finished 7th, crossing the line on the bridle.
The official form line of "hampered start, towards rear, ridden and headway on inner over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, no impression" doesn't really him justice, not that it matters too much.

Another one for the notebook unfortunately.

Can't complain about bad luck because thats something you need to hope for when backing a horse at Chester. We knew that when we sent the bet out.
Given our run over the last few weeks we were probably a bit cheeky backing in a 5 furlong sprint at Chester. We were odds on to get no run!

There will possibly be a bet tomorrow but more than likely our next bet will be on Friday.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

www.simplebet.net