Monday, 31 May 2010

Beaten before the off

Poor stuff with our only account bet today where we knew our fate before they started.

There was a good word for Princess Flame, 3pt win @ 9/4. A tricky horse to win with, her form had been well disguised and she was thought to be well in here.
By off time though she had drifted to 8/1 and we pretty much knew our fate before they started.
She actually ran ok but never looked like winning. She raced up with the pace but found little inside the last furlong and faded inside the last 100 yards to finish 5th.

On speaking to our contact the reason for the drift was given that she fretted up badly in the paddock. We weren't at the track so can't comment other than to say we won't be using the same contact again.

A poor finish to the month, albeit a slightly profitable one.
We also had our fair share of bad luck in the month with many placed horses including a couple that finished second, beaten by decent looking horses.

June has traditionally been a good month for us as the season has usually settled down by now. There is some great racing in June and we have many horses we have been waiting for that are due to run over the next couple of weeks.

We have a bet lined up for tomorrow at Leicester but that will depend on the price.

Thanks for reading

Saturday, 29 May 2010

2 small losers

Similar story for both our account bets today. Both were small bets and both ran poorly.

First up was Bold Marc, 1pt e/w @ 5/1. He was trying today after showing more at home recently. However, he was never travelling and although he was given plenty of assistance from the saddle, could only finiah 5th.

We also had Lowdown, 1pt e/w @ 16/1. Similar story where a place was expected at the minimum but he was never travelling well and finished 9th.

Not too much damage done as we staked sensibly because of the ground but it would have been nice to have at least one of the two bets placed at least.

The next couple of days are looking quiet but the end of the week is looking much busier.
We have bets already lined up for Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

June is a great month for racing and we are really optimistic of some great profits.

Thanks for reading

Friday, 28 May 2010

Got the right one

A good day today on a day where there was lots of information going around.

We could have had a few account bets but settled with just one, Avrilo 3pt win @ 11/4. Best Odds Guaranteed paid 3/1.
Another horse thought to be well in after missing the break last time out but still running a good race. She had previously won, finally breaking her maiden tag and connections feel she has finally come to herself.

She broke well but we were a little concerned with how freely she was early on. She pulled hard for the first furlong or so but then settled and disputed the lead.
She looked like she may be swallowed up as she had challengers all around her approaching the final furlong but showed lots of courage to battle on and win well.
Now they have the hang of her she may well go in again.

We now look certain to show a profit for May, albeit possibly a small one.

Lots of other info around today. Some good, some not so.

There was a good word from the Prescott yard for Aestival and he was a good winner but too short for us.
Nice to have a link into that yard though as that may well be profitable when they really start letting their runners loose, over the next few months.

Whispered Times was fancied each way in the 5.40 but he ran poorly.

Edas was also a possibly each way bet in the 6.40. Not really a betting race for us and we did well to swerve that one.

In the 9.00 tonight, King Of Windsor is said to be fit and well at home and is fancied. We have put this up as a free bet on Twitter. A small word for the other two at the top of the market stopped this being an account bet.

There is plenty of rain forecast for tomorrow so we will be keeping our eye out on the going before deciding about any account bets.
We are still waiting for our maximum bet to run. This is still planned but won't be for at least a week or so.

Thanks for reading

No go glow

One small account bet for us yesterday, Leonid Glow, 2pt win @ 6/1.
Thought to be well in after an unlucky run last time he again didn't get the clearest of runs. However, when the gaps did come he didn't quicken up as expected.
If he had as much in hand as connections thought he would still have been good enough to win from the position he was in but that wasn't the case.

Elsewhere there was a good word for Silca Conegliano, aslo at Nottingham. He ran well enough but bumped into a nice looking winner in Idiom.

Currently its unlikely there will be an account bet today but we are still waiting on a couple of calls.
We do have a bet lined up for Saturday.

Thanks for reading

Monday, 24 May 2010

Good start to the week

One small account bet today, King Of Eden, 2pt win @ 11/4.
Thought to be well handicapped after not getting a clear run last time out, connections were confident of a win with a clear run today.
The issue of not getting a run was cleared up early enough as David disputed the lead for much of the journey to ensure a clear run. He kicked for home two furlongs from home and was clear with a furlong to go.
He won eased down by 6 lengths, never really in doubt.

In hindsight we probably should have staked more heavily but thats often the feeling after a winner!

King Of Eden is due to run later on in the week.

Elsewhere, the 6.40 at Windsor was an interesting race with a word for 3 runners in the same race.
The strongest word was for The Shuffler (3rd) who was well supported all day.
Edition (2nd) was fancied each way after not getting much of a run last time out and the winner, Avon River was expected to improve for the application of headgear.

The race was never a betting race with at least 3 runners fancied but a nice one to watch all the same.

Nothing lined up yet for tomorrow but we shall see what the morning phone calls bring.

Thanks for reading

Thursday, 20 May 2010

Caught another good one!

Two account bets today and it didn't quite happen for us.

The first bet, Love Delta, 2pt win @ 4/1 was disappointing.
He was fancied to improve for being back on fibresand but he was never looking like the winner. No excuses for that one.

Our second bet ran into a very good horse. The second time this has happened recently.
We had been waiting a long time for Elshabakiya, 4pt win @ 5/2 to run as she is one of the best 2yo's in the yard. The price was taken as early as 6pm last night on Betfair - we mentioned it in last nights blog - so it was no surprise to see her drift on course near the off. We mentioned it in the morning message that it was vital we were on best odds guaranteed.
There were clearly a lot of other horses fancied in this hot maiden as money came for half the field and she drifted to 6/1.

She ran a great race but ran into a very good one, Maqaasid who beat her half a length.
Frustrating as she beat the 3rd horse home by a length and a quarter with the rest of the fiels well stretched out in just a 5 furlong race.

Thats the 4th selection we have had this month finish 2nd so although we are still being a bit unlucky almost every horse is running well. On another day they come home in front and we would be very well in profit for the month.

We remain in profit for May though, albeit slight.

Nothing lined up yet for tomorrow but that may change. This week has already been much busier than expected.

Thanks for reading

Wednesday, 19 May 2010

Small profit

One account bet for us today and it was one of our biggest bets of the year so far.

There was an extremely good word for Elkmait, 3pt e/w @ 9/2. (Best Odds Guaranteed was 13/2)
Thought to be an extremely promising filly, big things were expected on her debut and a place was the absolute minimum that was expected by connections.
We weren't concerned by the big drift before the off because the price had been smashed up on Betfair before the high street bookies had priced the market up. - There is often an on course drift when this happens as the on course bookies have no liability on a horse that was backed at bigger prices over night, hence pushing the price out on course.

She ran a good race to get 3rd but wasn't in the same league as the winner who looks a very nice horse and is apparently Royal Ascot bound next. Elkmait didn't get the best of runs inside the final furlong when she started getting the hang of things and may have got second but that pays the same as third so no problem! Small profit on the day, thanks for the on course drift.

Elsewhere there was a good word for Soul Station at Goodwood. He was given a great ride from the front and won with the second home (Hypnotized) possibly an unlucky loser.

We have a bet lined up tomorrow but again its being smashed on Betfair already so word is out.
We will evaluate in the morning and see how the ground lies.

Thanks for reading

Monday, 17 May 2010

Caught a tartar

One account bet today and unfortunately we ran into a good one.

We backed Riflessione, 3pt win @ 3/1 at Bath.
Thought to be well handicapped and would love the ground, there were a few good words for this one this morning.
He ran a great race but ran into a really good winner.
Rifflessione wasn't drawn well but kept the wide course and hit the front with 2 furlongs out. However, Sometsuke picked up very nicely to draw level inside the final furlong and go clear. He went on to win by 5 lengths. Rifflesione finished 2 and a half lengths clear of the rest in second.

Its frustrating to bump into a good one like that but it happens. Our info was spot on but every once in a while we will catch one like that.

Fairly quiet time still expected for the rest of the week but there will be at least 2 bets between now and the weekend.
There seems little sign of rain in the near future so our maximum bet is still on hold until the ground eases. It won't be rushed so we must remain patient.

Thanks for reading

Saturday, 15 May 2010

Good prices, good runs

Good stuff yesterday and today with some good runs and a bit unlucky not to have a big priced winner.

On Friday we had 2 account bets.
Our first was Breedj, 2pt e/w @ 5/1. We had been looking forward to her reappearance as she had come on a ton for her first run.
The plan was to bang her out in front and try to make every post a winning one but that was a short lived plan when she missed the break. She ran on well though to get second, really getting the hang of things towards the end of the race.
If she had won the plan was to go straight to Royal Ascot and that may well still be the plan but in time she will be better over a slightly increased distance.

We also backed Murara, 3pt win @ 11/4 up at Hamilton.
Thought to have a lot of improvement in him stepping back up to 6 furlongs he was disappointing. No real excuses as the first 3 home pulled a long way clear and we weren't in with much of a chance of winning from halfway.

Today we had 3 account bets, all at decent prices.
First up was Petara Bay, 1pt e/w @ 22/1.
This runner had been off the track for almost two years but the race has been a long term target all season as he goes well fresh.
He ran a great race, despite hitting a bit of a flat spot 4 furlongs out and stayed on well inside the last 2 furlongs to finish 3rd, beaten about a length and a half. A great run at a big price.

Then we had Sunday City, 1pt e/w @ 16/1.
Thought to be well handicapped after badly needing his first run of the season but he went lame unfortunately. He hade a mistake at the 6th and was pulled up shortly after that.
Thats 4 account bets to go lame in the last month but its always a possibility on this hard ground we have currently.

Finally we finished the day in style with Captain Cool, 1pt e/w @ 6/1.
Another runner thought to be well handicapped after 2 false runs where he had to front run. The plan here was to drop him in off a fast pace and come through inside the final furlong.
The race went perfectly to plan as he stayed on well inside the final furlong to win by 2 lengths.
A nice way to finish the day.

Unusually we have had 5 bets in the last 2 days but the next few days look to be a bit quieter.
We have a maximum bet planned but we need some ease in the ground before this one will run. Its a very special horse and we will be hoping for a nice price first time out.

Thanks for reading

Wednesday, 12 May 2010

Good start to York, just!

A good day today but we were made to sweat for it.

We had two account bets.
First up was Summerinthecity, 3pt win @ 5/2 (returned 11/4.)
Thought to still be well handicapped he travelled nicely approaching two furlongs out and traded quite short in running when he hit the front. He was soon joined by the impressive winner, Kaptain Kirkup though and faded once passed. Maybe a drop back in trip will do the trip next time out. We won't give up on him just yet.

Our second account bet was Aviate, 3pt win @ 9/4. (returned 11/4.)
There was a very good word for this filly and we mentioned in our message that the 20/1 for the Oaks would crash if she won as expected.
She was working out of her skin at home and for the majority of the race it looked like we would be on another unlucky loser as she was trapped behind a wall of horses travelling nicely. However, she got a nice split on the rails but still looked to have it all to do. She proved what a good horse she is though and got up in the final strides. Revenge for Twentynineblack from Saturday already!
Aviate is now around 6/1 for the Oaks and that still looks fair value. She is 3 or 4 lengths better than this as she was denied a clear run a couple of times and the way she finished showed stamina won't be a problem.

More good racing tomorrow and we are expecting at least one account bet.

We have over a dozen horses we are waiting for who are expected to be out in the next fortnight. It promises to be a busy but fruitful period is all goes to plan!

Thanks for reading

Saturday, 8 May 2010

Nabbed on the line, again!

Very unlucky with our only account bet of the day today.
Twentynineblack, 3pt win @ 7/2 always travelled nicely and was sent for home with a couple of furlongs to run. The race looked all over but the long run in did us and he was caught on the line by Montoya's Son. Great ride by the jockey on the winner.
Twentynineblack traded 1.11. in running and to be honest its surprising it wasn't shorter than that.

Strangely thats the second account bet that has traded 1.11 in running and been caught on the line in two weeks. Lowdown was the other one.
Adding in the fact that we have had two account bets going lame in the last couple of weeks (Greylami and Signs In The Sand) we might consider ourselves a little unlucky.

Luck does come and go in circles though so we won't lose any sleep over it.

Elsewhere today there was a good word for Tombi in the 2.00 and Pyrrha in the 2.10.
Both were each way fancies and neither race had 8 runners so we didn't play. Tombi ran a poor race but Pyrrha battled on well from her good draw to win well.

Mahonia is fancied in the 4.10 and there is a good word for Mahaala in the 7.20 tonight. Word is out on that one though and the price has crashed but its one to keep an eye on.

Its unlikely there will be a bet tomorrow but there is lots to look forward to next week.
There is some great racing with York's Dante meeting, a sign that the flat season has really arrived. If we are involved in any photo finished there we hope they will go our way!

We have a plot horse that is lined up for the middle of the week as well. It will only run if the ground is ok but the weather looks favourable at this stage.

Thanks for reading

Thursday, 6 May 2010

Wrong Signs

One small account bet for us today, Signs In The Sand 2pt win @ 2/1.
Word was that he was one of the better two year olds in the yard and had been waiting for the six furlong races for 2yo's. (Todays was the first of the season.)
He was supported down to 13/8 and travelled well enough, trading slightly odds on with two furlongs to run but then appeared to go wrong.
He was heavily eased from there by Frankie and unfortunately looked to go lame.

We were sensible in our staking as Goodwood can be a difficult track for many horses especially ones making their racing debut so not too much damage done.
This is a nice horse though and one to keep an eye on, especially when upped in distance.

Very little to report elsewhere other than a good word for Barrel Of Fun in the 6.35 (just about to run)
Fidelis was also fancied as an each way chance in the same race so we gave the race the swerve.

Some very interesting runners over the next two or three days, particularly tomorrow.
We hope to have an account bet or two but will know more in the morning.

Thanks for reading

Tuesday, 4 May 2010

Paris found

A nice and extremely welcomed winner today as Lost in Paris, 3pt win @ 5/2 landed a nice little touch.
Considered very well handicapped over the minimum distance he was well supported down to 7/4 and won with ease. Setting a fast pace, nothing could ever get close to him as he won by three and a half lengths, eased down.
Three of our last four account bets have now run very well (Lowdown, Riggins and Lost In Paris) with only Seta running poorly.

Elsewhere there was a good word for Colorado Gold in the 2.30 We were tempted by a small each way bet at 12/1 but the each way terms of 1,2,3 in a 15 runner race where only two or three runners could be realistically ruled out didn't suit us.
As it was he ran a good race, finishing 2nd @ 8/1. The winner, Fifth Ave landed a nice gamble (11/1 into 5/1) in very impressive fashion. With 4 future entries she will be very interesting if taking up one of those in the next few days.

Chester starts tomorrow. Some decent horses will be on show but there will no doubt be some hard luck stories around those tight bends.
We will be on course on Friday and have a bet lined up but we never stake too heavily there, because of the nature of the course.

There is a horse or two we are looking at already for tomorrow and there should hopefully be an account bet.

Until then, thanks for reading.


Sunday, 2 May 2010

Up, down, even

A couple of bets for members over the weekend ending up being all square.

We almost started the month is great style with Riggins, 1pt e/w @ 16/1.
We were on the right side of this fragile but talented horse all last season and he is still considered well handicapped.
He ran a great race to finish 3rd, beaten just half a length but was never quite getting there. If the rain that fell today had come 24 hours earlier it might have been a different story but we can't complain with 3rd at a decent price.

Not so good on Sunday with Seta, 3pt win @ 5/1 (best odds guaranteed returned 13/2)
We were in the paddock before the race and unfortunately she got very over excited there and lost her chance before even hitting the track. She drifted from 9/2 out to 13/2 and was never in the race in all honesty.
A great finish to the race and although its never nice to see a winner thrown out it was a fair result in the end.

Two days gone in May and we are level so far. Hopefully the very bad April is now behind us and May will be much better.

We have news of two planned gambles due to take place this week. Hopefully the recent rain won't postpone these. One is from one of our best trainers but more on that as the week goes on.

There will probably be a bet tomorrow, again ground depending.

Thanks for reading