Tuesday 29 June 2010

Almost, Beefy!

One account bet for members today, Botham 1pt e/w @ 9/1
There was a good word for this horse who was withdrawn last time out when fancied (and very well supported) and reappeared today at his favourite course.
He had started to show a lot more at home than of late and connections were expecting an improved run.
Settled out at the back early he powered through late and had to be switched round the pack to finish a fast closing second.
Can't really say we were unlucky to be honest but the result would certainly have been much closer if he didn't have to be switched. The info was spot on, just found one too good.

Tonight there is a small word for Irelandisuperman in the 7.00 but no bet for us as the price has long gone.

We don't have anything lined up for tomorrow just yet but that may well change in the morning as the phone calls start to come in.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

Sunday 27 June 2010

Weekend catchup

A profitable weekend, guaranteed by a good winner today.

We had one small account bet on a very tricky looking day of racing on Saturday.
Rafiqa, 2pt win @ 5/1 (best odds guaranteed returned 7/1)
She is looking to move out of handicap company as the yard target some black type for her and yesterday was a good opportunity to do this.
She ran a good race but never looked quite good enough to win the race and could only manage 3rd. She may need a drop of rain before showing her best but we won't give up on her just yet.

Today we had two account bets.
First up was Al Joza, 1pt e/w @ 7/1. (best odds guaranteed paid 10/1)
There was a good word for this runner who was said to have come on a ton for his last run.
He broke well and battled on very well to hold on and win by a head.
We had a couple of emails before the off as the horse was drifting on Betfair. Many runners from this yard drift before the off as the money is often on well before the last 30 minutes to off time. Nothing to worry about, the better the price the more we win!
Just goes to show though why we must use best odds guaranteed whenever we can.

In sharp contrast our second bet of the day was very well supported.
Spirit Of Darley, 1pt e/w @ 9/1 was fancied in a similar way to Al Joza.
Another one who had come on a ton for his first outing and was fancied to put in a much improved performance.
He was very well backed, right into 7/2 by the off time but despite being in a great position with a couple of furlongs to go he weakened dramatically.
We haven't heard from the yard yet but he looked to go lame, possibly as a result of the very firm going.

A good weekend overall but it would have been nice to get the double up today.
Can't be greedy though and we have to be pleased with a profit on a very tricky looking weekend of racing.

There is a possiblility of a bet tomorrow, we are waiting on a call or two in the morning.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

Saturday 26 June 2010

Better!

A bit more like it on Friday with one winner from two bets.

We started off with Dffar, 2pt win @ 4/1.
There was a very good word for this runner who was said to have improved massively for his first run, as many in the yard do.
Our main concern was that there was only 3 runners and there may be a false pace so we staked sensibly.
We shouldn't have worried though as, even though there wasn't a great pace and Dffar was keen early on, he ran out an easy winner having been backed into 2/1.
He will improve again for the run and may well go in again soon.

We have three more runners lined up from this yard over the next two weeks.

We also backed, George Adamson, 3pt win @ 5/2.
A good winner for us when an account bet a few weeks ago, connections thought he was still well handicapped.
Alan's runners are still running pretty well and the money was down on this one as well. Backed into 13/8 at the off he could only manage 3rd though.
He travelled well but was never going as well as the winner, That'll Do Nicely, who still looks well in.
He was caught close home for second but was never going to beat the winner so no complaints.

A better day and 5 points profit on the day.

There should be a bet today but thats not certain just yet.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

Wednesday 23 June 2010

Poor, poor, poor

3 small bets today and the best thing that can be said for them is that they were only small bets.

We started off with Regal Rocket, 1pt e/w @ 13/2.
Working nicely at home this two year old was expected to put in a good show first time out.
However, he completely missed the start and pulled hard throughout the early part of the race putting paid to his chances within the first couple of furlongs.
He stayed on well enough and finished fifth. Not one to totally discount next time out though and certainly the best of the 3 runs on the day.

Then we had Dunmore Boy, 3pt win @ 5/2. (Best Odds Guaranteed paid 3/1)
He travelled well enough and was still disputing inside the final furlong but found little from there to only finish 4th.
Very disappointing from a horse where much better was expected.

Finally we had Zubova, 1pt e/w @ 13/2.
She was the outsider of five runners but a good run was expected today after switching stables recently.
She didn't help matters by missing the break but that can't be used as an excuse as she always struggled in the rear of the field and could only finish 4th of the five runners.

Very poor stuff today and its been a tricky month so far.

Some of our main stables are struggling but thats no real excuse as we have lots of information coming in on a daily basis. There have been a few days where we have picked the wrong ones as account bets. (It's always hard to evaluate the strongest information and only use these for account bets) but these have been few and far between to be honest.

Hopefully things will pick up soon.
The weather is stable and the ground has remained good for a while now so there are no excuses there.

We are still well in profit for the year but nowhere near the profits of the last two years. This recent run is particularly frustrating for members who haven't profited over the previous years and have the huge profits to fall back on.
However we are in it for long term profits and confident of some good stuff ahead.

We have nothing for tomorrow at present but do have a bet lined up for Friday and Saturday if all remains the same.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

Brief catch up

Its been a busy week or so since our last blog update.

Not the best of weeks results wise typified by Imposing, 5pt win @ 11/4 on Saturday.
We had waited for this one for a while as connections feel he is much better than his current mark. In truth he wasn't given much of a ride, although he does need to be held up.
He didn't get a great run and had to be switched wide to come with a late run. He ended up a fast finishing second and an unlucky loser.
A big shame as that would have put us nicely in profit for the month, rather than a couple of points down.

There is definately at least one account bet today. We also have a bet lined up for Friday and Saturday.
We are still waiting on some news on a couple today so will send the message round at around midday today.

Our admin guy is also back from a brief period off sick so the blogs will be updated after each account bet again, as usual.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

p.s. Good Luck England!!

Monday 14 June 2010

Royal Ascot week awaits

We are heading to Ascot in the morning for the full meeting.
Great racing but very competitive, especially tomorrow.

We don't envisage more than two or three bets during the week to be honest but its always a great week of racing and meeting contacts - both new and old.

We are staying over all week so doubt we will be blogging each night but will resume to normal next week.

Its been a quiet few days with little action.
We were looking to have a bet today at Windsor but the horse was withdrawn. One for another day...

Unlikely there will be a bet tomorrow but we have something we are looking at for Wednesday.

We have a couple of bets lined up for the weekend already so the latter part of the week is looking much busier.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

Thursday 10 June 2010

No quad!

One small account bet today as we attempted to make it 4 winners from our last 4 selections.
Not to be, unfortunately.

We backed, Nahab, 3pt win @ 11/4.
Thought to be another horse who had a decent handicap mark there was a very good word for this one from various sources.
She ran a good race, having to track wide throughout but could only manage 3rd, beaten a length and a half.

Lots of rain around currently and more forecast in the South overnight.
We will continue to keep things sensible throughout this period of changing going.

Royal Ascot starts next week and we have a couple we are waiting for,
We don't envisage too many bets during the week as its more a watching meeting than a betting one but we will certainly have a bet or two.

There is a possibility of a bet tomorrow but its far from certain at this stage.

Elsewhere, the World Cup starts tomorrow.
If you are having an outright bet, Bet365 have a very good offer. If your team goes out on penalties they will refund your stake. Given England's propensity to go out in this agonising manner its certainly worth consideration!

In fact, if you are backing any of the top 8 or so teams this could offer very good value.

If you haven't got a Bet365 account and sign up for one directly from our website http://www.simplebet.net/free_racing_bets.htm you also get two weeks free membership with ourselves.
Everyone is a winner!

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

Tuesday 8 June 2010

June Hat trick!

Tricky racing conditions today with a lot of rain around bet we had one small account bet.

We backed Valantino Oyster, 2pt win @ 7/2.
We had been waiting for this runner for a while. He had been very shrewdly campaigned last season. Kept to distances that were too short last season the step up in trip was expected to suit this horse that was considered very well handicapped.
That turned out to be the case but we were made to sweat for it a bit!

Our selection was travelling well enough but needed to be pushed along just over half a mile from home as he was switched away from the rail. He hit the front with around 300 yards to run and looked set to be an easy winner but wandered in front and the line just came in time.
A good ride and a good touch landed by a shrewd yard.

Our last three bets have now won at 11/2, 5/2 and 7/2. Lets hope this continues for a while yet!

There are two races in particular that we are interested in tomorrow so there is a strong possibility of an account bet.
There is lots more rain forecast over the next 48 hours though so we will evaluate in the morning.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

Sunday 6 June 2010

An improving picture

Back from a good weekend at Epsom which started poorly and improved a great deal.

We have had five bets over the last two days.

On Friday we started off with Aviate, 2pt win @ 6/1 in the Oaks.
We were on her when she won bravely last month when she gave the impression she would stay the Oaks distance.
She was well supported into 7/2 and looked to be travelling well enough with 3 furlongs to run but failed to stay and dropped back from there. She will run over a mile and 2 furlongs next time out.

On Friday we also had Redwater River, 2pt e/w @ 6/1.
There was a good word for this runner that loves this time of the year. A big run was expected and he was supported down to 4/1 by the off.
Unfortunately he didn't read the script and reared in the stalls and came out about 10 lengths behind the rest of the field. He had no chance from there but ran a respectable race and may be of interest next time out.

On to Saturday where we had three account bets.

We started off with Jira, 1pt e/w @ 28/1.
This runner has continued to improve all season and ran much better that the bare form looked last time out in Rome where the ground was a distinct disadvantage.
He ran a good race and although never looking like winning he traded very short in the place market with a furlong to run. Unfortunately he faded from there and finished 6th.
Another one not to give up on though.

In the last race at Epsom we had a nice winner. Flipando, 1pt e/w @ 11/1.
Backed down to 9/1 at the off he was fancied to be suited by the expected fast pace with the plan to come though inside the last furlong and nail them late.
The race went exactly to plan and under a fine ride he got up close home to land the spoils. A nice winner and a good way to end the Derby meeting.

Finally we backed George Adamson, 3pt win @ 5/2 in the evening meeting at Newcastle.
Alans horses are now starting to run very well which is very good news for us and our subscribers as we have a lot to look forward to from that yard.
He won well last time out despite meeting trouble in running and was considered to still be well handicapped for this run.
Fortunately this was another race that went exactly to plan and we ended up with another nice winner. Another horse to keep on the right side of.

After a nasty start to the month we are now back into profit.

The next few days is looking fairly quiet as we will have to keep an eye on the weather. Lots of rain around and more forecast this week so there may be some strange results following the settled spell we have been used to.

Royal Ascot is the next major meeting, just around the corner. We have 3 bets lined up already for that meeting and hopefully the weather will be settled by the time that comes around.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

Wednesday 2 June 2010

No good wednesday

One account bet for us today but no luck.
We backed Elkmait, 2pt e/w @ 7/1 but she ruined her chances before the race got underway.
She played up going into the stalls and then reared up constantly in the stalls. We were hoping she may break through the front of the stalls and be withdrawn but no such luck!
When the race got underway she pulled too hard and her race was pretty much over with 2 furlongs to run.
Very annoying when things like this happen but not a lot we can do about it.

Elsewhere we had no interest in any of the other races today.

Good racing coming up over the next few days and we will definately have an account bet on Friday and Saturday. Possibly a bet tomorrow as well as we look to make up for the poor start to the month.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/

Tuesday 1 June 2010

More seconditis

Frustrating day today with two account bets.

First up we had Dream Win, 3pt win @ 4/1.
Thought to come on lots for his latest win, especially with the step up in trip. The main concern was if he would stay the extra 2 furlongs.
He was ridden with the emphasis on getting the trip, being held up at the back throughout. He stayed on well enough but was never put in a position to challenge. Not the greatest of rides in truth.

We also backed Free As A Lark, 2pt win @ 4/1.
Said to have come on considerably for her last run she was well fancied by connections today.
She travelled well throughout but didn't get the best of runs with a couple of furlongs to go. However, she barged her way through a bit and led inside the final furlong until the post where she was caught and dead heated for second.
Annoyingly her stable mate was the winner at 25/1.

The other horse to dead heat for second, Captivator, looked particularly unlucky and is one to look out for next time out.

Elsewhere we would have had a maximum bet on Elshabakiya in the first at Leicester if the price had been better.
She is a very nice horse and although she could only manage second here (the winner looked potentially very decent) she will go on to win races.

Unlikely to be a bet tomorrow as the racing is very poor. However, the end of the week is looking very interesting already.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/