Just 3 bets so far this month and only 2 points profit so far but we feel its been a solid and slightly unlucky start to the month.
First bet was Mahadee, 1.5pt e/w @ 16/1.
Connections were on this one early so it was no surprise to see him drift out to 25/1 at the off.
We knew we could ignore his last 2 runs and an improved performance was expected this time.
He ran a cracker, even looking a likely winner inside the final furlong. Just getting run out of it close home he finished 4th. Hate it when each way bets finish 4th!
We have also backed Present Danger, 4pt win @ 11/4.
This was strongly fancied by the yard as they thought she was on a very good mark.
She ran a strange race, running in snatches and looked very green.
Not sure it was the best ride in the world but she may be a difficult horse currently so wouldn't want to moan too much about that.
She traded long odds on in running but could only manage 2nd.
One for the notebook though.
Yesterday we had to wait until 8.20 for our only account bet but it was worthwhile.
O Ma Lad, 3pt win @ 3/1 was fancied in a poor race now back on his favourite surface.
We were a bit concerned before the off when the favourite was backed off the boards (13/8 into odds on)
Annoyingly, as often happens with these evening markets where there are few on course punters our selection didn't drift from 3/1!
He was given a great ride to get up close home even though he had to switch round the pack in the home straight.
So 2 points in front for the month but with a 25/1 e/w finishing 4th and a win bet trading longs odds on and coming second we feel in decent form.
Unlikely there is a bet today although Dream Ahead looks a good thing over in France on going that will suit.
Too short for us at 11/10 or so though.
Quite a bit to look forward to this week providing the weather settles down and we get some stable going.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
July has been a very decent month for us.
13 bets so far and 30 points or so profit.
Pucking up where we left off, we had 2 eveing account bets which resulted in a decent double.
Dinkum Diamond, 5pt win @ 6/4 landed the money with little effort and George Baker, 3pt win @ 13/2 wore down the leaders with a sustained run to give us a cracking evening.
A few days later we had a big priced bet with Spring Stock, 1.5pt e/w @ 25/1.
He ran fairly well and looked like getting placed with a couple of furlongs to run but could finish only around 6th.
He is a lot better than he has shown recently and may well pop up at a big price soon...
2 bets last Saturday.
Ishbelle, 2pt e/w @ 7/1 was selected against a very well backed favourite.
She ran a cracker but could only get 4th. The worst place for an each way bet to finish when they pay 1,2,3 for a place!
Hoof It, 2pt e/w @ 5/1 restored order landing a massive nationwide gamble.
The result never looked in much danger, leaving us with another great SimpleBet Saturday!
Hoof It was available at 6/1 with Ladbrokes in shops but we prefered to take the 5/1 with Bet365 for a free bet as part of their 4/1+ Channel 4 offer.
That free bet ran on Tuesday.
Modun, 4pt win @ 7/2 was brought with a sustained late run and looked certain to get up. He traded at 1.07 in running but didn't quite get there.
Possibly not the best of rides by Mr Moore. His timing improved as the week went along!
Also that day we backed Warcrown, 4pt win @ 5/2.
The vibes have been very strong for this horse and although well supported he lost his race in the stalls.
He fretted up very badly, missed the break and then got bumped.
He never had a chance from there but this is a very nice animal and may even be classic bound next year.
A few emails from members after this run, suggesting the selection wasn't a wise one and in hindsight they were right.
Backing an unraced maiden at 5/2 at Goodwood wasn't a good move and wasn't great value however good he may be.
We live and learn and continue to improve through the help of our members.
A nice plot landed today as Teach Nua, 5pt win @ 5/2 was backed all the way into 6/4 before winning under a good ride.
He was given a prep race recently and this race has been the target for a while.
For a while he looked to be trapped behind a wall of horses with a double handful but when the gap came he powered through and did the job in style.
A much better month so far, much more like the form we should be in.
Just a final reminder that we are still half price to non members until 31st July. http://www.simplebet.net/join.htm
Prices will then revert to the normal £50 a month from 1st August.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Apologies for the very belated post...
We ended June in profit, mainly thanks to the run we have expected for a while from Dominant, 3pt win @ 13/2.
This has long been thought of as a very decent horse and although he let us down badly last time when seeing too much daylight he put the record straight with a very easy win.
The same day Federation, 2pt e/w @ 10/1 ran a good race to get 3rd. He runs again this evening and has a very good each way chance for anyone interested...
Taqaay, 3pt win @ 7/1 ended the month with a poor run but we managed to end June 6.5 points in profit from just 11 bets.
July started very poorly with most of our selections running below par in the first week.
Collateral Damage, 2pt e/w @ 8/1 and Lady Del Sol, 3pt win @ 9/2 were disappointing but the former will be winning soon. Keep an eye out!
Our biggest bet for a while, Mijhaar, 6pt win @ 5/2 was well backed down to 13/8 and found one too good.
There were excuses that he hit the front too soon but we believe its more likely he just ran into a better horse on the day.
Saturday was interesting and almost very, very frustrating.
First Cat, 2pt e/w @ 7/1 and Tropical Beat, 2pt e/w @ 6/1 both ran well(ish) but could only manage 4th. The worst place to finish for an each way bet.
First Cat could be considered possibly unlucky but looks like he may be a difficult horse to win with.
Tanfeeth, 2pt e/w @ 7/1 finished the day in good fashion with a gutsy win.
He looked all over the winner in running but in the end we should possibly be grateful that the Cumani horse didn't run straight inside the final furlong, allowing us to get back up.
Hopefully that is a bit of luck coming back our way.
We have two account bets this evening at Newmarket.
We are still half price for non members although this will end on 31st July.
Members have until 31st August to renew at half price.
Thanks for reading and apologies for the brief hiatus.
SimpleBet
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A poor week overall in which our current run of luck was summed up by our latest bet.
We backed Sluggsy Morant, 3pt win @ 13/8, Goodlukin Lucy, 1pt e/w @ 16/1 and Fifty Moore, 1pt e/w @ 33/1 on Bank Holiday Monday.
All can be summed up as running similar. Poor.
No excuse for any runner. At least the latter two were decent prices so that could be expected but Sluggsy was particularly disappointing.
On Tuesday we backed Dare To Dream, 4pt win @ 15/8 and Art Thief, 3pt win @ 15/2.
Dare To Dream ran well to finish second but ran into a very decent one that was well punted.
Art Thief was itself very well supported but failed to handle the track.
A bad end to a poor month.
Two bets on Saturday.
Only Witness, 2pt win @ 12/1 and Crimson Cloud, 4pt win @ 11/4
Only Witness ran well and finished 3rd. In hindsight we should have gone each way but the feeling was that if the headgear worked a big race was in order but if they didn't he could run another flat race.
Crimson Cloud was desperately unlucky.
The formline of "held up, headway 2f out, switched left and got through to challenge going well over 1f out, soon led, headed post" fails to mention the fact he also stumbled inside the final furlong.
In other news we have made some improvements to our service judged on members feedback. This is as follows:
1. We have reduced our prices and are currently half price. We will hold this price for current members until at least 31st August 2011. This will be available to the general public for a limited time, yet to be decided. (see number 5.) http://www.simplebet.net/join.htm
2. Starting in June, if we don't make a profit in a calendar month we will give you that month free by adding one month to your membership period. See bold text on http://www.simplebet.net/how_it_works.htm
3. We have probably had too many bets of late so will be aiming at 3-5 bets per week. We will start to put some of what we consider to be weaker information on our twitter feed. http://twitter.com/simplebet
4. We will send round late information by text only if we get any we feel is strong enough. There will be at least 30 minutes notice if there is a bet. If you are interested in this, please ensure we have your mobile number.
5. We will limit membership numbers. Because of the current run we have lost a few shorter term members. As soon as these are replaced we will close our doors to new members to protect prices.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBetwww.simplebet.net
We are looking at ways to cut down on our admin and one of those is to cut down on the amount of blogs we do.
The admin side of things is one of the least enjoyable parts of this job and we are cutting down on this in any way we can. Therefore we will be blogging once or twice a week with updates rather than almost daily.
On the plus side, we are running a June competition as our January one was such a sucess.
10 people will get membership until the end of 2011 for just £50 (the current cost of one month) and all you need to do to enter is email us quoting 'June'
Thats almost 7 months membership for the cost of just one month!
You have until midday on Sunday 5th June to enter and the offer is open to new and existing members.
Winners must pay within 48 hours of their place will be offered to someone else.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Three bets on Saturday and one on Sunday.
First up on Saturday was 2.15 Es Que Love, 4pt win @ 6/4.
This horse is the best two year old on the yard but threw away the race first time up when veering badly when the race looked sewn up.
If we could be sure he wouldn't do similar he would have been a maximum bet.
There was no real worry as he broke well and made all to win easily by just over 3 lengths.
Second up was 2.30, Triviality, 4pt win @ 9/4.
This one ran well on debut and was fancied to improve on that assuming he took to the turf.
He couldn't go the pace early on and despite staying on towatds the final furlong could only finish 4th.
Our final bet on Saturday was 4.45 Pink Sapphire 4pt win @11/8.
This horse is on of the nicer two year olds on the yard and was fancied tio make a winning debut.
Very well supported he went off an odds on favourite.
He travelled well and was in a strong position with a couple of furlongs to go but faded inside the final furlong.
A strange run and lots of money lost for connections on this one.
One bet for us today.
3.00 Baroque Star 1pt e/w @ 33/1 had been let down by his jumping of late.
He has been very well schooled and was expected to put in an improved performance today.
He started very sluggishly, jumping the first two fences slowly and was soon trading at 500 on Betfair.
However, he got the hang of things and was given a very good strong ride to get up for 3rd close home. A nice priced place bet landed.
A small profit over the weekend but we were hoping for a lot better.
Lots to look forward to the week including the Derby meeting of course.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Two account bets today.
First up was Samitar, 2pt e/w @ 8/1.
This horse has been working very nicely with some of the beter two year olds in the yard and was expected to put in a big performance today.
She travelled nicely in the fronk rank throughout before being headed in the final furlong.
She stayed on well to get 3rd, beaten just under a length in 3rd place.
The first 3 home pulled 4 lengths clear of the remainder so the winner, Regal Realm and the second, Gamilati are worth keeping an eye on.
Second up was Blanche Dubawi, 3pt win @ 4/1.
This horse needed her first run of the season and was expected to run very well today, dropped in trip.
Another horse that travelled very nicely in running. She was with the leaders for much of the race and challenged for the lead inside the final furlong, trading 1.45 in running.
She veered under pressure and wandered over the track and could only finish second.
If she would have won the race had she kept to a straight line is questionable but it would certainly have been interesting.
Another one to keep an eye on.
We should have at least two account bets tomorrow.
In other news, we are looking to make some changes to the service over the next month or so.
Price, membership limit, late info by text etc.
If you have any suggestions please get in touch with us by email. The details are on our website.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Running a bit behind with the blog, apologies.
Three account bets to catch up on.
On Saturday we backed Rose Blossom 2pt e/w @ 20/1
This horse is exceptionally speedy and if she could get an early lead had a great chance.
She went off a 14/1 chance and ran a respectable race to finish 6th even though she didn't get the early lead.
Keep an eye on this one as she will win a big race over 5 furlongs on fast ground this year.
On Monday we backed George Baker 4pt win @ 9/4
The penny has finally dropped with this horse and they yard thought he may still be handicapped. He was going to continue to run until he got beaten and then be rested for a while.
Its rest time as he didn't run much of a race and was well beaten.
Yesterday we backed The Nifty Fox, 3pt win @ 6/1
There was a good word for this consistent horse who was expected to put in an improved show with the headgear back on.
He ran a cracker and was just nailed on the line by Ginger Ted and beaten a neck.
The winner ran a great race and just squeezed through a gap with a furlong to run to stay on strongly and get up close home.
No excuses for our runner but on another day that gap might not have been there for the winner to squeeze through. Such is racing life!
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today.
5.35 Rock My World, 4pt win @ 3/1 was thought to be on a nice mark for this handicap.
This lightly raced filly has filled out nicely over the close season and was expected to be too good for her opponents today.
The race didn't really go to plan and became a very bunched affair with a couple of furlongs to go. She got no run but in truth she wasn't travelling too well when the bunching happened so that may be clutching at straws for an excuse.
She is much better than she showed today and it might be worth not giving up on her just yet.
There is a chance of a bet tomorrow but we do have a bet lined up for Saturday that will probably be sent out on Friday evening.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Two account bets for us yesterday.
First up was 3.55 St Oswald, 3pt win @ 9/4.
This one had been gelded over the close season and was thought to have come on for his first run of the new season. The step up in trip was expected to be another bonus.
He went off a 15/8 favourite but was very slowly away and immediately in the rear.
He seemed to struggle to get into the race proper and was pushed along throughout, finishing mid division.
Missing the break made no real difference as he didn't look to be good enough, even with a level break.
Second up was 5.25 Twisted, 1pt e/w @ 20/1. (B.O.G. paid 25/1)
This one had come on for his first outing over timber and although he was up against a long odds on favourite, connections believed he was a great each way bet.
He was held up near the rear for much of the race and stayed on very well to finish second.
Although the winner (Odin's Raven) won fairly comfortably he made a couple of bad jumping errors including one at the last. Not the easiest of rides for anyone backing a 1/5 chance.
A small profit on the day on what has been a quiet week so far.
There will probably be an account bet today but not certain just yet.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Quick catch up from Saturday...
One account bet for us, sent out early as we expected good support.
3.10 Dominant, 4pt win @ 5/2 was a very unlucky loser for us last time out when getting no run at a crucial time.
Although he went up 6lbs for that race he had improved for the run and was well fancied here.
He went off a well backed 13/8 chance although there was a small rule 4.
Signs were ominous early on when he pulled far too hard. He made some decent progress with about half a mile to run but didn't find a lot inside the last furlong and was well beaten.
The winner, Al Kazeem was thought to be a gallop or two short of full fitness so this was a very impressive performance by that one.
There is a chance of a bet today but nothing certain as yet.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Two account bets for members today.
First up was 1.30 Miss Work Of Art, 6pt win @ 6/4.
We sent this out last night as we expected her price to be smashed up.
A very impressive filly who worked superbly earlier in the week she was fully expected to put in a winning run today.
She was backed right down to 8/13 before surprisingly drifting out to 6/5 on course. There was a slight rule 4 from our 6/4 making the price almost identical.
She tracked the leaders and was shaken up with a couple of furlongs to run. She got down to her job in fine style and went away to win by a fairly comfortable length.
A nice 6 point bet landed, albeit at a fairly short price.
Second up was 5.50, Devlin 4pt win @ 2/1. (B.O.G. paid 11/4)
We are used to our selections being very well supported but this time we were caught at our own game.
Bapak Chinta was backed off the boards into a 1/2 favourite. It was clear we were up against a very smart newcomer.
It mattered not as Devlin was too bad to be true. He nevr travelled at any stage of the race and finished last of the four runners.
Bapak Chinta won with ease so the money certainly was well placed.
Overall another profitable day for us.
Most days now we could have up to five account bets, there is so much information flying about.
We are having to pick our punches carefully and are mostly getting it right even though the odd bad run is still happening like Devlin today.
We have one early account bet for members tomorrow that has already been sent. We are expecting another well supported horse.
There is a good possibility of another account bet. We will know more tomorrow.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Two account bets for us today.
First up was 4.10, Hadrians Rule 1pt e/w @ 16/1
This horse has been showing all the right signs at home and connections have waited for a 6 furlong race as he will get further in time. We sent our bets our at around 8.45 this morning as we expected them both to be well supported.
To say this runner was well supported is an understatement as he went off a 5/1 joint second favourite!The amount of money it takes to do this at a major meeting like York's Dante meeting should not be underestimated.
Unfortunately the racing gods still aren't looking down on us too kindly as the gates opened and all the horses started in a line... except ours.
He dwelt in the stalls and was left around 12 - 15 lengths. 75 on Betfair within 50 yards!
He showed a good deal of speed and although he had no chance of winning from that break he actually traded just 8.2 in running.
One for the notebook. Unfortunately everyone saw how unlucky this runner was and the cat is out of the bag. He won't be 16/1 next time out!
Second up was 4.55, George Baker 3pt win @ 11/4.
The original plan with this horse was to get some PR for the stable as George Baker could win the race, ridden by George Baker and owned by George Baker!
That plan was a while ago though and it took him 15 races to lose his maiden tag.
Now he has won the yard were keen to strike while the iron was hot and follow up in this race.
Another one to come in for a lot of money he went off the 11/8 favourite.
He broke well and from halfway the result was never in danger. The official formline was "tracked leaders, smooth headway over 2f out, led over 1f out, came clear final furlong, easily"
So a decent day for us but as we have said all too often it could have been so much better with some luck.
With Hadrians Rule today along with Haylaman and Beautiful Sound being beaten short heads we could easily be 50 points in profit for the month.
No point moaning about it though as we are boring ourselves, let alone anyone else!
Lots lined up including a strong account bet for tomorrow that has already been sent out to members. We expect this one to be well supported as well.
There will almost certainly be another strong account bet tomorrow, assuming the price is right.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One small account bet for us today.
1.30, Taqleed, 2pt win @ 11/2
We backed this one in the Lincoln when he was withdrawn. Connections have believed he was a group horse in the making for a while and the slight bit of cut in the ground was an advantage.
In short, its unlikely he is a group horse as he was mid division for much of the race and didn't show anything special.
The ground was possibly a bit faster that it was thought to be - with the hindsight of watching the full card - but thats clutching at straws for excuses for this run.
Fortunately we staked small, but a disappointing run all the same.
More good racing tomorrow and we should have at least one account bet including a probable big priced runner in the first..
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today.
5.20, Dashing Eddie, 2pt e/w @ 8/1
The 8/1 went as soon as our email was sent so we settled this at 7/1 for our accounts. - Not that it mattered in the end!
This horse has filled out well over the winter and was well fancied by connections today.
Very well supported all day, he went off the 4/1 second favourite.
He broke well and was in a handy position on the near side. He looked to be travelling well with about 3 furlongs to run and touched 6/4 in running on Betfair in running.
He found very little from there though and could only finish mid division.
A strange run and there seem to be no excuses. Its possible the horse just wasn't as good as connections thought. Certainly a fair amount of money went astray on this one.
There is an interesting horse running tonight.
Benny's Well in the 8.30 is well fancied and has been supported accordingly. Unfortunately there is a good word for Flat Cap Thursday in the same race so no bets for us.
Some great racing coming up this week with a fair few bets planned.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Two strong account bets today.
First up was Bounty Box, 5pt win @ 10/3.
This filly had much in her favour today. She was much fitter for her first run of the season, would be suited by the rain softened ground and was up against her own sex.
One of our strongest bets for a while. We were hoping this horse could start to change our flat season round with an impressive win.
Our selection broke well and bagged the rails.
She always looked in command and held on well to win by just under a length.
So, maybe the change had come? For an hour or so...
Second up was Beautiful Sound, 3pt win @ 3/1.
This one has narrowly missed the cut to run in the Irish Grand National.
Said to be still in fine fettle after running a decent race at Cheltenham a big run was expected today.
He was well supported down to 9/4 at the off and was up with the pace on the wide outside for much of the race.
He was kept to the outside throughout, even when making some decent progress with three to jump - now trading odds on in running.
With 2 to jump it just looked a question of if he would catch the leader, Shakalakaboomboom.
That horse made a bad blunder over the last and Beautiful Sound took up the lead, only for Shakalakaboomboom to battle back and do us on the line.
We have already had quite a few emails from members about the ride Davy Russell gave our selection. Unfortunately, the best horse came second on the day.
Very close to a fantastic day, again.
We seem to be saying this so often these days and are really trying not to sound like a broken record.
Our last 3 selections have seen a 10/3 winner, a 15/2 second by a short head and a 3/1 second by a short head. The onfo seems to be largely spot on, we are just a few centimetres away from some big payouts.
At some point these short heads will be on our side, we just have to remain patient.
On the plus side, we got the staking right today with a nice 5 point bet winning making for a decent profit on the day.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One small account bet for us yesterday. Another 'close but no cigar' moment!
Haylaman, 2pt win @ 15/2 was fancied partly because there were strong negative vibes for some of his opponents. Of the 5 runners, we knew 2 weren't fancied at all because of the very fast going.
Our selection has wintered well and was expected to put in a good show despite being the outsider of the 5 runners.
Our selection sat in a handy 3rd place for the first half of the race and made some nice progress with 3 furlongs or so to go.
He chased after the leader inside the final furlong and looked like he was always going to just get there. He traded as low as 1.13 on Betfair in running but just failed to get up by a short head.
Yet another close run thing and things aren't quite going our way just now.
We had a few emails suggesting Tom (jockey) could have given him a much stronger ride and didn't seem to use the whip as much as he could have.
Thats possibly true but this was a lightly raced horse and he will improve for the run and a big season is expected to lie ahead of him. Doesn't help us in the short turn but thats the way it is sometimes.
Two strong bets for us today and hopefully the racing gods will look more kindly on us soon, starting at 3.30 today.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
One account bet for us today.
Blue Jack, 3pt win @ 6/1 was strongly fancied by the yard today.
They were sponsoring some of the card and were looking to get on the scoresheet with this runner.
He runs well fresh and this race had been the target for a while now.
We played win only as the race can be lost in an instant round the tight bends of Chester but with a clear run our selection was expected to win.
Sure enough, our race was over within the first 100 yards as our selection was hampered coming out of the stalls and was soon in the last couple of runners, ruining what was a good draw.
From there he ran well enough on the inside and finished 7th, crossing the line on the bridle.
The official form line of "hampered start, towards rear, ridden and headway on inner over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, no impression" doesn't really him justice, not that it matters too much.
Another one for the notebook unfortunately.
Can't complain about bad luck because thats something you need to hope for when backing a horse at Chester. We knew that when we sent the bet out.
Given our run over the last few weeks we were probably a bit cheeky backing in a 5 furlong sprint at Chester. We were odds on to get no run!
There will possibly be a bet tomorrow but more than likely our next bet will be on Friday.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Very close to a decent winner again today.
We have 3 small account bets.
First up was Amadeus Denton, 1pt e/w @ 10/1 (B.O.G. returned 16/1)
We have been waiting for this one to run for a while now as he is showing all the right signs at home of being a decent prospect.
Connections were concerned by the potential bad draw but still fancied a place at minimum today.
He drifted before the off as many other horses were supported but was in the front rank from the off.
He made good progress on the outside inside the last 2 furlongs, hitting the front with a furlong to go.
A combination of running slightly green and being carried to the far rail by the eventual winner, Profile Star, meant our selection could only manage 2nd.
He traded odds on in running and although there was a stewards enquiry it was always unlikely he would be given the race.
Another frustrating run and that half a length he lost by would have made a huge difference to our month.
Our next 2 selections didn't run as well.
Our second bet of the day was Astrophysical Jet, 3pt win @ 3/1.
She is fancied to go on and be the big star of the sprinting scene this year and was expected to start the season in good style.
She went off an 11/4 chance but ran no race at all.
Its probably something went wrong and she may have finished lame as she will prove to be much better than this run.
Finally we had Legal Legacy, 2pt win @ 5/1.
This horse did us a few favours last season and put in a good run first time out this season despite not being fully fit.
He went off a 9/2 chance and was held up on the inside for the first half of the race.
He made some ground with 3 furlongs to run but it was clear to see that Imperial Djay was travelling ominously well. He went on to win the race well, showing the Ruth Carr yard are coming back to some form. (They also had a winner today in the shape of Dubai Dynamo)
So, a loss on the day and on the month.
It could have been a lot better with a bit more luck but 'could have beens' don't pay the bills.
Because we have had a poor run of late we will add a free month to any current members period when they renew.
Lots to look forward to in May and we are expecting to bounce back big time as the flat season gets fully underway.
Before we go it would be rude of us not to mention Frankel.
A stunning performance today. Possibly one of the finest performances we have seen for a while and we may not see better this season.
He may not stay the Derby distance and Henry has a decent alternative with World Domination but wherever Frankel runs next he will have plenty of people wanting to see him run.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today.
Corr Point, 3pt win @ 11/4 needed his last run and was fancied to run a big race today on ground that suited with that run under his belt.
He was well supported down to 7/4 at the off (although there was a slight rule 4) he settled in behind the leader Not Til Monday.
He was travelling well for the majority of the race but when brought out to challenge he found little.
A poor run and one we have seen all too often of late.
Many of our selections are running the same way. Well backed, travel well and then find little when push comes to shove.
Its strange as nothing has changed, they just aren't running as expected.
Things will pick up. Hopefully very shortly as writing the blog when we haven't backed a winner is much more difficult than when we are flying!
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Two account bets today but no joy.
First up was El Wasmi, 3pt win @ 5/1 (B.O.G. paid 6/1)
This is one of the yards nicest horses and big things are expected of him. Stakes were kept sensible as this could have been a hot race with many unknown horses in opposition.
He drifted to 6/1 before the off mainly due to heavy support for Amhran (7/1 into 11/2) and Regal Salute (11/2 into 3/1)
He missed the break slightly but was soon up in the front rank.
He ran green throughout, holding his head in the air for much of the race and wasn't given too much of a hard race finishing 3rd beating the two well supported horses.
This is a nice horse and the money will only be lent as he will come on a ton for this experience.
Second up was Beauchamp Yorker, 3pt win @ 5/2.
Another horse that is highly thought of at home, this lightly raced type was well fancied today.
Unfortunately he ran very green as well, especially round the bend, losing valuable ground.
He was switched to the far side on the run in and closed well but was never going to get there.
This is another horse that we probably won't give up on just yet.
A poor week or so for us means we are looking at a probable loss for April.
The next few days look to be quiet but we are hoping for a big turn around soon. As the season starts to settle down we will be staking slightly more and really expect a profitable few months ahead.
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SimpleBet
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Four bets to catch up on for us over the weekend.
Two on Saturday.
First up was Wells Lyrical, 1pt e/w @ 20/1.
This horse needs good going and has slipped to a nice handicap mark.
He was backed down to 14/1 by the off and settled in second place for the majority of the race.
He was pushed along with a couple of furlongs to go but found the pace a bit too hot in the rain softened ground and although trading odds on to place in running, was beaten just over 2 lengths for 3rd place.
Second up was Premier Grand Cru, 1pt e/w @ 20/1.
This was another horse that needed fast going and was on a handy mark.
He took the short way round and was held up at the back early on. He made some nice progress to get after the leaders with 3 to jump. He stayed on well inside the last furlong but couldn't quite reel the leader in and finished 2nd, beaten a length.
Two bets on Sunday.
First up was Ragdollianna, 1pt e/w @ 17/2.
This mare was in her first handicap on a reasonable mark and expected to be bang there with a decent round of jumping.
She was a little too keen early on but made some nice headway as the turned up the hill.
The race turned into a bit of a sprint inside the last couple of furlongs and she was tapped for toe finishing 6th, beaten around 3 lengths from second place.
Second up was Dominant, 2pt win @ 5/1.
This was another horse making his handicap debut and is very highly thought of at home.
This was almost certainly the unluckiest loser of the day.
The form line was "close up, effort on inside when badly hampered 2f out, soon switched left, ridden and ran on to go 2nd near finish, unlucky"
A slight loss over the weekend but we can consider ourselves very unlucky.
A 20/1 chance beaten a length and a 5/1 chance that lost about 6 lengths in running and was beaten 2 lengths.
Also this month we have had Club Oceanic beaten 2 short heads, Rezwaan caught in the last 50 yards and Ancient Greece miss the break by 5 lengths to be beaten 2 lengths.
We always say that luck comes and goes in equal measures so we are certainly due some.
No point dwelling on the past though, we have to get on with it.
Quite a few bets lined up this week and we are confident of turning things round big time.
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SimpleBet
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One account bet today, a very disappointing one.
Chillie Billie, 6pt win @ 2/1 was fancied to run a very big race today.
He ran well first time up in a hot looking race and worked superbly with one of the stables recent winners recently.
We were tempted to go maximum stakes but as we knew nothing about the unraced horses we decided to play more sensibly.
There was a deluge of money for Chillie Billie up to the off as he was backed down to 5/4.
Gatepost (unraced) was also very well supported from an early 4/1 down to 15/8.
Our selection broke well and pulled hard. Given a bit of cover it was clear to see he wasn't travelling as expected after a couple of furlongs.
He was eased inside the final furlong to finish a disappointing 6th.
The feedback after the race was that he felt jarred on the hard going and was never travelling.
To be fair, he might not have beaten Gatepost anyway, as the winner looked fairly smart winning quite easily.
Poor stuff today but horses aren't machines and sometimes things don't go as expected.
No racing tomorrow so we will be back on Saturday.
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SimpleBet
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Apologies for the brief post... we are running behind with things slightly.
Two bets to catch up on.
Saturday we backed Humbie, 4pt win @ 4/1.
If he stayed the extra distance he was strongly fancied to put in a winning run.
Despite travelling well on the heels of the leaders with 4 to jump he appeared not to stay and finished 5th.
Yesterday we backed, Ancient Greece, 4pt win @ 13/2.
The yard were trying to land a nice touch with this one and looked set to do so with a furlong or so to run.
He was in the front rank throughout and hit the front with around 300 yards to run, trading at 2.02 on Betfair.
Unfortunately he didn't have the pace to kick on from there and finished down the pack.
We have had many nice touches from that yard though so can't complain when the odd one goes astray.
The weather is settling down and the flat season is really starting to get going.
We have a list of over 30 horses to look out for over the next 6 weeks or so and are expecting a very profitable run. - Fingers crossed!
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today.
El Muqbil, 3pt win @ 5/2 was once thought of as a Derby prospect but didn't perform as expected last season.
He had wintered well and a big run was expected here.
He ran very poorly but was reported afterwards to have swallowed his tongue.
We will keep an eye on him for the future but he may be a horse that we wait until he wins before we follow him again.
One very interesting horse runs tomorrow.
World Domination goes in the 4.15. This one has been working with Frankel at home and the dogs have been barking about this for a long time.
Currently around 16/1 for the Derby, he will be interesting to watch.
One early account bet has been sent out to members for tomorrow.
We may well have another bet tomorrow as we are on course.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today.
Kangaroo Court, 1.5pt e/w @ 14/1 was fancied to put in an improved performance today with the ground and trip in his favour.
He has been jumping better at home and was thougt to have a good chance of causing an upset here.
A similar profile to Sir Harry Ormesher who was an account bet for us a week or so ago.
In a reformed market he went off a 12/1 chance and was held up at the back of the field for the first three quarters of the race.
He made progress with a couple to jump but had to be switched, costing crucial momentum and could only stay on at one pace up the hill to finish 5th.
He would have had no chance with the winner even without having to switch but as he was beaten just under a length for 3rd it may well have made the difference for the place money.
A small loss on the day but another account bet that ran well, just not quite well enough.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today.
Rezwaan, 1pt e/w @ 8/1 has been running well, with connections hopeful to complete a hat trick today.
He is still considered well handicapped and a place was the minimum that was expected in this tight handicap.
He went off an 8/1 chance as money poured in for many of his opponents.
There was little pace on early and our selection made the early running, something that wasn't initially planned.
He kept a steady pace but kicked on with just over a furlong to run and traded 1.26 in running. He looked to have put the race to bed!
Unfortunately for us, he was caught inside the last 50 yards, finishing 3rd.
A small profit on the day for us and another account bet that ran well. Could have been much better but we won't complain.
A good week of racing ahead and hopefully our account bets will carry on performing as well as they have been.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today.
All eyes were on Aintree but there was a plot horse running at Bangor.
Hazy Tom, 3pt win @ 7/2 was strongly fancied by connections to land a nice touch today.
Our comments were "While all eyes are on Aintree the yard are trying to land a little touch with this one today. He won a point to point race two months ago and looks a fairly decent prospect at home. Very little is known about the opposition so we are keeping stakes sensible but are expecting a big run today."
The 4/1 with Paddy Power and Hills went as we were typing the email which was annoying. It was still available with Sky Bet and Sporting Bet but it isn't fair to use those prices in our results as they aren't exactly known for taking a 'proper' bet.
Very well backed down to 7/4 favourite at the off, Hazy Tom was always in a decent position on the inside and although he was short of room with around half a mile to run could be called the winner by that stage.
He hit the front with a furlong to run and came away comfortably.
A decent day and that ended what has been a very nice week for us.
Some great racing lined up over the next week and the flat season is now really starting to get going.
Lots lined up and we are expecting a great time over the next few months.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today.
Sir Harry Ormesher, 1pt e/w @ 16/1 is finally more like his old self at home and was fancied to run his best race of the season today.
He went off a 14/1 chance and was settled in mid division for the first half of the race.
He was niggled along a few times inside the last mile but made some good progress with a couple of furlongs to run and traded just above evens in running. For a minute we were thinking we had landed a nice big one!
He lacked a turn of foot late on but stayed on gamely but under pressure to get 3rd place.
A nice run at a decent price.
No-one will need telling its the big one tomorrow. We are still more than happy with our ante post bet.
We may have another bet at Aintree as well as a possible interest at Chepstow. More will become clearer when the calls come in tomorrow.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today, a close one.
Club Oceanic, 4pt win @ 7/4 (B.O.G. returned 9/4) was a strong fancy after wintering particularly well.
Connections were pleased with his handicap weight and he was fancied to run a big race.
Lots of money just before the off for Indian Jack saw our bet go off a 9/4 chance.
There was little early pace and our selection pulled slightly in behins on the rails but travelled nicely enough.
He didn't pick up instantly when asked the question but picked up well inside the final 100 yards to finish 3rd, beaten 2 short heads in a 3 way photo finish.
No excuses. He ran well, just not quite well enough.
Aintree's Grand National meeting starts tomorrow.
Great racing bit its unlikely we will be having a bet tomorrow. The first 3 races all feature odds on favourites and the remainder of the card looks very trappy.
We may have an interest at Ripon but will know more in the morning.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today, possibly an unlucky one.
Cape Melody, 3pt win @ 7/2. (B.O.G. returned 11/2) was fancied to put in an improved performance in cheekpieces in what looked a very tight handicap.
In the stalls, Sunset Kitty played up badly. This may or may not have affected our selection but when the stalls opened she missed the break by around 8 lengths.
After 50 yards she was trading at 75 on Betfair!
She ran well enough though obviously without having any chance of winning and was beaten around 4 lengths.
Would she have won with a level break?
Its hard to tell. Its not as clear as missed the break by 8 lengths, beaten 4 lengths so she would have won by 4 lengths.
Either way it doesn't matter as these things happen and we lost our money on the day.
Lots and lots to look forward to over the next month or 6 weeks.
We have around 10 horses that will be account bets when they run that should be out shortly. We are hoping for a great month or two.
The flat season is starting to get going properly!
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One bet on Saturday and one bet today for us.
Saturday's bet was Penitent, 3pt win @ 9/4
This horse landed a real nice touch for us this time last year when landing a decent gamble to win the Lincoln.
He was entered in the Lincoln as well as a race in France but connections opted for this race. It was felt that if he stayed he probably would win.
A huge gamble on the day, he started an 11/8 chance.
(At some point we need to write a gamble to cover what is a gamble and what isn't. Many punters believe a horse being punted from 33/1 into 14/1 at Wolverhampton on a Thursday night is a huge punt but 9/4 into 11/8 at Kempton on a Saturday isn't...)
Anyway,
Penitent settled well enough tracking the leaders and looked set to pounce with a couple of furlongs to run.
When Frankie asked him to quicken he found very little and could only plug on at the same pace to finish 4th. Whether he didn't stay, wasn't fit enough or just wasn't good enough is hard to tell.
To make matters worse, William Haggas won the race with his second string, Shamali.
This one wasn't fancied at all. (Opened 12/1, went off 12/1)
In fact, the trainer told the Racing Post "I'll be staggered if Shamali wins, as he's sure to need the run. He was never really right this year and hasn't run since May. He's had leg problems, so running here on an even surface was preferable to most other options"
Now, the cynics will say that he said that to get a better price on his second string, blah blah blah, but the amount of money that was lost on Penitent tells the true story. There were a lot of gutted punters at Kempton!
On to Sunday which was much better.
We backed, King Of Eden, 1pt e/w @ 10/1
This horse did us some great favours last year and had really grown and strengthened over the winter. That and the fast ground made connections hopeful he would stay the extra furlong today and if so, was fancied to run a big race.
The ground wasn't great, with lots of grassless patches at Donny so we kept our stakes sensible.
Our selection went off a 10/1 chance as money poured on Ivory Silk. (13/2 into 9/2)
He was always in a handy position in around 6th place and made headway with around 2 furlongs to run. He hit the front with a furlong to run and stayed on very well to hold Ivory Silk by a head.
A nice and very welcome 10/1 winner after a pretty difficult week.
This week is all about Aintree and our Grand National ante post bet continues to shorten in price. He could still go off favourite.
Connections are still very confident that with a clear round he is the one to beat.
There will probably be a few bets between now and the start of Aintree on Thursday with a couple of interesting runners lined up from one of our favourite yards...
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today, a poor one.
Panama At Once, 2pt e/w @ 15/2 - B.O.G. returned 10/1 - was thought to be coming back to a bit of form after taking his time to settle into the new yard.
He ran an improved race last time and any improvement on that was expected to see him bang there at the end.
He ran up with the pace and sat in 3rd place for the first couple of miles.
Although he jumped well throughout he lacked the pace to go with the leaders when the pace picked up. He stayed on well enough inside the last couple of furlongs but could only manage 6th place.
The flat season starts 'for real' tomorrow with the Lincoln, the main piece of a good card at Donny.
We should be having at least one account bet.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet today but we couldn't turn round a loss making month.
Dream Whisperer, 2pt win @ 15/2 is a nice filly who has been showing plenty at home.
With her being up against a field of unknowns we kept stakes sensible.
She was very well supported down to 9/2 at the off but did herself no favours by missing the start slightly.
She was always chasing the leaders and ran slightly green, only managing to finish 5th.
The winner, Jack Who's He ran a nice race and looks a fairly promising animal.
Our selection will be winning soon though and we probably won't desert her just yet. She is better than she showed today.
March ended 14.5 points down, unfortunately.
We will continue to play sensible stakes on the flat for the next week or two but we do have a few very interesting horses on the radar where we will stake appropriately when they appear.
Overall the flat season looks set to be an exciting one. Hopefully it will be a very profitable one as well!
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today with no luck in running unfortunately.
Lemon Drop Red, 3pt win @ 10/3 was thought to be well handicapped and expected to take all the beating with a clear run.
Those last four words were key!
He went off the 3/1 favourite and missed the break but a length or two.
From there it didn't get much better as he was bumped consistently. The official form line of "slowly into stride, took keen hold, held up towards rear, steadied off heels and went left inside final 6f, hampered and shuffled back inside final 4f, pushed along and stayed on inside final furlong, never able to challenge" doesn't really tell the story.
Unfortunately, Matt Chapman of At The Races spotted the lack of luck and mentioned it a fair few times!
This horse will be winning soon. Unfortunately many more will know about it than they did today...
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Our first day back today after a week off but no account bets.
The racing today was pretty awful and with the fast going there were some strange races, especially at Plumpton where some fancied horses ran no race whatsoever.
There was a big gamble on Soccerjackpot in the first race and he was struggling early on as well as Ethiopia in the 4th race who was well supported but struggled throughout.
A good day to have no bet overall.
We are hopeful there will be a bet tomorrow and the flat season starts on Wednesday.
Lots to look forward to this flat season and we are hoping it will be our best one ever.
One of our main stables has a really nice intake of two year olds and will be landing some nice gambles for sure!
There are just over 3 days now to take advantage of our 33% bonus on memberships. This applies to both new and existing members - full details are here... http://www.simplebet.net/special_offers.htm
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today.
Uncle Dermot, 3pt win @ 10/3 has really matured of late and with doubts about the fitness of the favourite was fancied to run a big race.
He was settled near the back early on and made good progress approaching the final furlong, trading odds on in running.
However, he looked to run into a fairly decent one in the shape of Aanna Heneeih who won by a relatively easy half a length.
We now have a much needed week off. Our first in well over a year!
We are back on the 28th March.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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No account bets for us today, other than a small ante post bet in the Gold Cup.
The racing was very trappy and there really is little point in forcing a bet just because its Cheltenham. That does no favours to anyone in the long run.
A while back we had Kempes, 1pt e/w @ 16/1 mainly because of the doubts surrounding those at the head of the market.
It turned out that pretty much all those at the head of the market were on their A game and Kempes wasn't.
A fantastic race to watch though and a superb ride on the winner from young Sam.
As we thought, picking winners today was very hard although there were some great finishes.
Final Approach and Get Me out Of Here was a great finish with Ruby just spoiling a gamble on the runner up.
Sir Des Champs won another great race to watch, winning under another very good ride.
We had 5 bets over the 4 days, losing a point and a half.
We also had 2 ante post bets that saw 6 points going astray.
So, its back to 'normal' racing from now on and to be honest that suits us much better.
We were saying to a member not long ago we would rather have a decent bet on a maiden at Plumpton where we have a strong word for one rather than play heavily in a race where every horse is trying for its life!
We are hopeful of at least one account bet tomorrow and already have lots lined up for the flat season which is only a couple of weeks away!
We already have some interesting information for a horse at a big price in the Lincoln.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Two account bets for us today, a much better day for us.
First up was Chartreux, 2pt e/w @ 13/2.
This one had squeaked into the race on bottom weight. He had been put away after a run on New Years Day to protect his handicap mark with this race in mind.
He travelled well in mid division but made a couple of mistakes when push came to shove, including a bad one at the second to last hurdle. That cost him any chance and he was eased from there.
Frustratingly, David Pipe won the race with his second string runner, Buena Vista.
Second up was Junior, 2pt e/w @ 5/1.
Very similar to Chartreux, this one had been kept in cotton wool with this race in mind.
The subject of a huge gamble, he went off the 10/3 favourite and was always in the front rank.
He looked to be in slight trouble when the leader kicked clear with 4 to jump but Junior got after him and took the lead with 2 to jump.
Driven clear he won by a very comfortable 24 lengths!
So, much better for us, and many punters today.
A big relief to be off the mark after a tricky couple of days. It was getting quite stressful at SimpleBet HQ!
Some weather forecasts suggest quite a bit of rain for Cheltenham tomorrow so there could be a going change.
We should be having at least one account bet though, along with our ante post bet which runs in the Gold Cup.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Well, its definately 2-0 to the bookies as far as we are concerned after day two at Cheltenham.
We had one bet on the day and an ante post bet to run.
First up was So Young, 4pt win @ 5/2.
This horse has been the talking horse of the festival and there was a huge buzz about his chances today.
Backed all week, the money continued to come and he went off a very tight 2/1.
He was held up and started to make some headway with 3 to jump but was carried wide and bumped slighly with a couple to jump.
Meanwhile, Oscars Well was cantering. That one made a terrible mistake at the last but so did our runner.
So Young had a great deal of momentum approaching the last before fluffing it. Impossible to say he would have won but if the race were run again we would be backing the same selection.
He could only finish 3rd with Oscars Well finishing an also unlucky 4th.
Our second bet was an ante post bet on our idea of the banker of the meeting, Time For Rupert, 4pt win @ 5/2.
Anther huge buzz for this horse today and tons of money came for him all morning, leading him to go off a 7/4 favourite.
For some reason, he ran completely flat today. He just didn't pick up at all and finished a very disappointing 5th.
Not a great day and judging by many of the blogs, many punters were hit hard today.
Still, there are two more days to go and we are still hopeful of some big runs, especially on Friday.
Tomorrow looks very tricky but we are expecting at least one account bet. Lets hope for an upturn in fortunes.
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SimpleBet
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Two account bets today and two poor runs unfortunately.
First up was a speculative bet on Magens Star, 1pt e/w @ 22/1 in the Supreme Novices Hurdle.
She could have done with a bit of give in the ground but was very much an unknown factor, having won both her races with ease to date.
Well backed into 14/1 at the off she didn't get the clear early lead she wanted as she was taken on by Dunraven Storm.
She led or disputed to 3 out where she weakened.
As we mentioned, a speculative bet but one that was worth a punt in our opinion.
Second up was Medermit, 4pt win @ 3/1 in the Arkle.
Alan King made no secret of the fact that he regarded this horse as his best chance of a winner at this years Festival.
The plan was to track the pace and try to take the lead up the hill.
He didn't jump too fluently and was never travelling as well as the leaders.
He finished a disappointing 4th, beaten around 10 lengths. We will try to find out the reason for this poor run as it certainly wasn't expected.
Annoyingly, Alan went on to win the next race with Bensalem under a great ride from Choc.
Day one didn't go our way but there are three more to go.
There should be at least one account bet tomorrow along with an ante post bet that runs.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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After a few quiet days the big one starts in less than 24 hours...
We have one small account bet to catch up with first though, from Sunday afternoon.
Hidden Crack, 2pt win @ 9/2 was an unlucky loser last time when he came down at the last.
He was thought to still be on a decent mark, providing he got the extra distance.
He went off a 7/2 chance, having touched as low as 5/2 and travelled nicely tracking the leaders for the majority of the race.
He didn't pick up at all when asked the question with 3 to jump though and stayed on at one pace to finish 6th.
A couple of poor runs from our last 2 bets, albeit small stakes at big prices.
So, it all gets underway at 1.30 tomorrow.
We won't be staking crazy but do have a decent few bets to look forward to including at least one bet tomorrow.
From a plot perspective we are more interested in a runner away from Cheltenham over the next few days. We may stake slightly heavier there than at the Festival if we get the right word!
If you are going to Cheltenham, staying at home to watch on tv, or going to another meeting over the next 4 days we wish you the best of luck.
Its sure to be a great 4 days of racing. Lets hope its a very profitable period as well.
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SimpleBet
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