A good finish to the year for our members with one account bet today.
Mallusk, 3pt win @ 7/2 has been waiting to run for a while now with the weather causing the delay.
Kim Bailey's yard continue to be in fine form and our connection there has done us proud over the last couple of months.
Mallusk raced in second position for the first part of the race and was always travelling well.
He joined the leader with a couple to jump and stayed on in impressive fashion to go away and win by 10 lengths.
That ended December in profit, our 9th profitable month from the 12.
Although we only ended the year just over 80 points in front compared to 300 points in the previous two years we feel its still an excellent performance.
Many tipping services have really struggled this year for various reasons and we have had a couple of bad runs in the year.
However, we have come through as we always will and its been a decent year overall.
Happy New Year to all who read this.
May the year ahead bring you peace, health and wealth.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
4 bets since we last blogged so a quick catch up.
On Tuesday we backed Secret Asset, 3pt win @ 5/2.
An impressive winner for us recently as an account bet this one fancied to follow up.
Unfortunately the rise in weights seemed too much for him as he didn't pick up as expected and could only finish 4th.
On Wednesday we had a bet in Ireland.
Skippers Brig, 2pt e/w @ 10/1 was expected to love the heavy going but never really travelled in the ground and was mid division throughout.
A disappointing run.
Today we had two account bets. Both ran well without winning.
Douryna, 3pt win @ 5/2 (B.O.G paid 3/1) was a faller for us when looking the likely winner last time out.
She had been given some time off the track to regain her confidence.
She was running a big race and looking a comfortable leader until a bad mistake with about 4 to jump. That seemed to affect her and she didn't jump well from there, fading back to finish 3rd.
Dream Esteem, 2pt win @ 13/2 (B.O.G paid 7/1) ran far too freely last time out but had come on a ton for the experience.
She was much too free again for the early part of the race and was under pressure with about half a mile to run. She stayed on very well close home but could only manage 2nd, beaten just under 2 lengths.
A disappointing few days since Christmas with 2 of our 4 bets running poorly and 2 running well but not managing to win.
The weather seems to be more settled now and hopefully it will stay that way as we head into the new year.
There should be a bet tomorrow but nothing certain at this stage.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Just a quick one to say we wish all that read our blog a happy, healthy and wealthy Christmas.
We really appreciate all who read this blog regularly and wish you all the best.
We feel we are in a great place currently as a service and have many excellent long term members.
We lost a few in October when we had an awful run but are now close to filling our quota and will consider operating a waiting list for new members again at some point in the New Year if things continue in the same vein.
Happy holidays to all.
Thanks again for all your support
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
One account bet today, our first bet of the week because of the weather.
Dubai Hills, 2pt win @ 3/1 came with a pretty straightforward message this morning. "If he stays, he wins"
On normal Southwell ground we would have staked much larger but with the ground certain to run slow because of the ground we were very sensible.
We shouldn't have worried!
Dubai Hills was soon in the lead and always travelled comfortably.
When asked to put the race to bed he did so easily and drew away to win by 13 lengths.
We are hopeful there will be a bet tomorrow but, as with today, we won't force a bet just for the sake of it.
Weather permitting we have at least one strong bet lined up for Boxing Day and one to look forward to on New Years Eve.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Two account bets today but no winners.
First up was Gordy Bee, 2pt win @ 4/1.
He ran poorly last time but there were excuses for thst run and he was expected to put that showing behind him today.
He played up in the stalls and missed the break slightly.
If he damaged himself slightly in the stalls or if the experience made him sulk is unknown but he didn't run his race at all.
He was under pressure with half a mile to run and finished tailed off, eased home.
We will find out if he went lame tomorrow and report back here.
Second up was Baile Anrai, 2pt win @ 6/1. B.O.G. paid 7/1.
This one was bought after winning a point to point in Ireland and looks a nice prospect on his homework.
His trainer had the favourite in the same race, Upthemsteps, but our runner has been working at least as good as that one and we were twice the price.
Baile Anrai travelled very well throughout but was badly hampered when Be True fell in front of him. That possibly affected his confidence as he made a mistake with 3 out, effectively ruining his chance.
He stayed on quite well to finish 4th behind the winner which annoyingly for us was Upthemsteps.
Baile Anrai is another one for the notebook though as he will be winning very soon.
Lots of snow around where we are based and it looks set to have its affect on racing over the next few days.
Hopefully we will get a few meetings on though as we have lots to look forward to.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
One account bet for us today and fortunately we held back on our staking.
Brave Prospector, 2pt e/w @ 7/1 (B.O.G. paid 10/1) has been working supremely well at home and is a winner waiting to happen.
Unfortunately he had the worst of the draw today and needed to find a way through.
George Baker is one of the best jockeys at riding this track and connections knew the only option was to drop the horse out at the back and hope for luck in running as he tried to weave his way through.
Unfortunately he had no such luck, getting consistently blocked at he looked for an angle out with 3 furlongs to go.
There is no way of telling where he would have finished with a clear run but he is a lot better than this run. One for the notebook.
We have around 5 bets we are waiting for before Christmas.
Hopefully the forecast cold snap will fail to materialise and racing will go ahead as planned.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
One small account bet today.
Stop The Show, 1pt e/w @ 12/1 had been away from the track for 6 months in the hope it would freshen him up. Reports were that he had been showing a lot more at home and a big run was expected today.
He raced at the rear of the main pack for the majority of the race and was making some good ground to race a couple of lengths from the leader when he hit the second downhill fence on the final circuit. Thats always a difficult fence to jump and it knocked the stuffing out of him.
He rallied and stayed on pretty well but when it was clear he couldn't be placed he was eased down inside the final furlong and finished 6th.
Not a great run but one a horse that will be winning soon when his jumping improves. We will keep him in the notebook.
We have a decent bet lined up on Wednesday, weather permitting.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Some great racing today at Cheltenham but out two account bets were at Lingfield.
First up was Secret Asset, 3pt win @ 5/2.
This horse has been very consistent all season and is better than ever at home. He had to take the long route round last time and was well fancied to win today.
He went off a well backed 15/8 favourite and the race panned out perfectly.
He was well settled at the back of the pack and came round the outside to win with relative ease. A good race to watch as he looked the winner for much of the race. Not much concern throughout.
Our second bet was Baylini, 4pt win @ 2/1.
This horse has been hard to win with but the drop in grade and step up in trip was expected to work the oracle today.
For much of the race we seemed to be watching a replay of Secret Asset's race as Baylini was settled at the rear of the field and started to make ground with a couple of furlongs to run.
Unfortunately he didn't pick up as well as expected and although he plugged on well, could only manage 3rd, beaten about a neck.
Two good runs and a profit on the day again though so we can't complain.
There is a horse we were interested in tonight but not strong enough to be an account bet.
In the 6.20 at Wolverhampton, Taurakina is well fancied.
The money in the race for Sunset Kitty has to be respected though from this yard and we will leave the race alone.
There is a good chance of an account bet tomorrow but nothing certain just yet.
The week ahead looks promising with a few bets already planned including a Christmas plot horse, weather permitting...!
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
One small account bet for us today. Possibly an unlucky one.
Carrickboy, 1pt e/w @ 7/1 ran a great race last time and has improved a great deal for that run. He was thought to be well weighted today and a place was the minimum that was expected.
He went off a 6/1 chance and was always in the front rank. Going well, he made a mistake with 4 to run and unseated his rider.
There was too much of the race to run when he parted company with his rider to say he would have won but its a fair bet that he would have been placed at least.
That said, its all about the jumping so its not an issue!
More great racing tomorrow and we should have at least one bet.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
One account bet for us today at a big price.
Edgeworth, 1pt e/w @ 28/1 was fancied to run a big race today with a drop in grade along with a decent draw and the application of cheekpieces.
The price didn't last long and only 25/1 was avaliable shortly after our email was sent out so we have returned the horse at this price.
He was very well backed on course right down to a tight 14/1.
He broke well but was dropped in near the rear of the field on the rails. He was switched to the outside with a couple of furlongs to run and traded under 2/1 in running.
Although he was tapped for toe he stayed on well inside the last 50 yards to grab 3rd place close home.
A decent run at a decent price and another profitable day; our 4th on the trot over the last week and a half.
Things continue to look to be quiet because of the weather but Cheltenham looks set to get the go ahead to race on Friday and we have a potential bet lined up there.
There may be a bet before then, weather permitting.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Our first bet of the month today and a very small profit from it.
Imprimis Tagula, 2pt win @ 6/1 (B.O.G paid 13/2) loves it round Southwell and gets on well wth todays jockey. He ran well last time out at Wolverhampton and continues to look well in himself at home.
He went off 13/2 from 6/1, mainly due to good support for Love Delta who was backed down to 3/1 favourite.
Cape Vale set a decent pace and made all the running. Despite looking to come under pressure a couple of furlongs out and our selection starting to make some ground he stayed on well to win by a length and a quarter.
A small profit of 0.6 points on the day but any profit is better than a loss!
The week ahead still looks to be fairly quiet and we won't force a bet for the sake of it.
Many of our trainers have had trouble working their horses in the current conditions and we will step carefully until things are back to normal.
That said, we are expecting at least two or three bets in the coming week if all goes to plan as we are waiting on quite a few to run when the time is right.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
With the weather affecting the racing in a big way at the moment we have plenty of time to catch up on the past few days action.
There were two bets on Friday and two bets on Saturday.
First up on Friday was Noble Citizen, 1pt e/w @ 14/1.
This horse has been running well recently without winning and continues to work well at home. He didn't get a clear run last time out and was fancied to run a decent race despite his wide draw.
He was held up and travelled wide throughout and ran ok without ever looking like winning.
He will win a race at some point but might need a slight drop in the weights before doing so.
Second up was another disappointing run.
Mavalenta, 3pt win @ 4/1 is going to the sales on Thursday and connections were desperate to get a win into her to boost her value.
She travelled well enough but when push came to shove with a couple of furlongs to go found little. A poor run.
On to Saturday which was much better.
First up was Sarde, 3pt win @ 9/2.
Kim Bailey has his horses in superb form right now and connections were pleased with the 5lb rise in the weights after her earlier win.
She travelled well throughout, racing on the inside. She made steady ground on the leaders and went into 3rd place with three to jump. She stayed on well under a good ride to lead on the run in. A brave and much needed win.
Secondly we had another runner from the Kim Bailey yard.
Regal Approach, 1.5pt e/w @ 11/1 desperately needed his first run of the season. An improved run was expected today.
This one travelled well throughout and always looked to be going best in running.
He led with a couple to jump and traded very short in running as the rest of the field started to all look like the race was in slow motion in the desperate ground!
In The Zone made up a bit of ground though and jumped into the lead over the last.
Under another great ride though, Regal Approach rallied and regained the lead inside the last half furlong.
Two great rides from brave horses giving us a superb Saturday.
We are now back to 17 points or so in profit and look certain to end November in profit after a very poor October.
We have a few to look forward to this week, including a couple from Saturday's hero Kim Bailey.
This weeks racing does look like it will be seriously affected by the weather though but we are also waiting for news of a 'Christmas money plot horse' on the all weather.
Here's hoping the improved run of form continues to keep us all warm in what looks like being an Arctic feeling week or two!
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
One account bet for us today; a very unlucky one.
Douryna, 3pt win @ 4/1 isn't the fastest of animals but has been working well recently and was fancied to go very well in this race with a decent round of jumping.
She was well supported all day and sat prominently throughout the race.
She lacked a bit of toe with half a mile to go but stayed on very well and was about half a length behind the leader when she fell at the last.
Would she have won or would she have finished second? We will never know.
She was trading around 1.7 on Betfair when she fell but that doesn't tell us much either way and in truth it doesn't matter because she fell!
So, we are still waiting for a change of luck but it will come soon.
There may be a bet tomorrow. We will wait and see what the weather brings if nothing else.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Second, lame, second, second has been the run of our last four account bets!
On Friday we backed Arrayan, 4pt win @ 7/4.
This one has improved for the switch in scenery and was given a fairly easy time on his first run for the yard. He was thought to be well handicapped.
Well backed, he was always travelling well and traded long odds on in running.
However, when asked to go after the leader and put the race to be he put in a couple of poor jumps and lost all momentum. He plugged on ok but could only manage second.
On Saturday we had two account bets.
Paquet Cadeau, 2pt win @ 5/1 was another one who was expected to put up an improved performance as lots of things weren't in his favour last time out.
He got the early lead we were hoping for and was travelling very well until hitting the 6th hurdle. From there he went lame and was eased home.
We also backed Summit Surge, 3pt win @ 7/4.
There was a bundle of money for this one before the off, seeing him go off the 5/4 favourite.
Of the three horses that finished second in our last four bets this is the only one we could really claim to be unlucky.
He was travelling well throughout the race but Fallon got him in a poor position on the bend and he was shuffled back. When he did get some daylight the winner was gone and although he made up some decent ground he was never going to catch the winner by this stage and wasn't given too hard a time.
Summit Surge will now go to Sha Tin and shouldn't be ruled out based on this result.
On Sunday we had another second placed runner.
Fine Parchment, 3pt win @ 7/2 is a runner in fine form at home and was hoping to get an early lead.
Another of our selections to be well supported he went off the 9/4 favourite.
He didn't get the early lead he wanted but travelled well enough throughout the race.
He was driven along to chase the leader with a couple to jump but always looked held and could only manage second.
A disappointing few days but all three of our second placed bets were very well supported and ran well. Its only a matter of time before the racing gods are smiling on us again and these second places are turned into winners.
There will probably be an account bet today but not certain at this stage.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
One account bet for us today.
Avertor, 3pt win @ 5/1 works alongside much better horses at home but has been a constant frustration to connections of Roger Charlton's yard all season.
He showed a bit more on the track when finishing well over 6 furlongs last time out and the step up in trip was expected to be an advantage.
The plan was to drop him in and pick them off late.
He was certainly dropped in but failed to find anything and although trapped behind a wall of horses was never likely to win at any stage.
Its probable they will try some kind of headgear with this one next as he would pick up the kind of horses he is racing against and carry them on his homework but he just fails to do it on the track.
Either way, we will probably let him run without any of our money on him until he wins another race.
A couple of bets lined up, including a decent sized bet planned for Saturday.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
A quick catch up on where we have been at over the weekend.
We had one bet on Saturday and one bet on Sunday. A 1 point loss over the weekend.
Saturday's bet was American World 1pt e/w @ 28/1.
This horse has had a win operation and desperately needed his last run.
If the wind operation had worked as required he may well have caused a bit of a surprise.
Basically, it didn't appear to as the horse didn't really show.
A speculative bet but one that may have been worthwhile and not too much damage done overall.
On Sunday we backed Manyriverstocross, 2pt e/w @ 6/1.
This horse has a decent season last year which is more than can be said for Alan King's stable overall. He was unlucky in running a couple of times and was thought to be well handicapped with connections choosing this race instead of the November handicap last week.
He travelled pretty well throughout but ran into a decent one in the shape of Menorah.
Manyriverstocross managed to finish 3rd and get us the place money but was never travelling as well as the winner.
Menorah has to be a decent price at 12/1 for the Champion Hurdle, given how well he was travelling on a track that clearly suits him.
We have a couple lined up for the week ahead and the weather looks to be relatively settled.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
One account bet for us today, a winning one.
Midnight Haze, 3pt win @ 7/2 always runs well fresh and although he was on his highest mark of his career, was fancied to continue improving.
He has been putting in some great work at home and any further rain would only have been a bonus.
Like the majority of our selections this month he was well supported and went off at 9/4.
He led from the start and in all honesty never looked like getting beaten.
He had to be put right at a couple of fences but won by a fairly easy 5 lengths, having most of the field hard at work for the last half a mile.
He will improve for the run and may well go in again next time out.
We have only had 4 bets so far in November but all have run fairly well.
Hopefully this will continue as the awful October is still fresh in our memory.
Some good racing tomorrow with the start of the 3 day Cheltenham meeting.
It doesn't look a great card to bet on but as always we will know more in the morning.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Some awful ground and conditions but we had one small account bet.
Croan Rock, 1.5pt e/w @ 12/1 (sent out at 14/1 but that only lasted 10 minutes) was a very interesting runner today.
An expensive purchase after a win in a point to point in Ireland he was expected to be suited by the very soft going.
The plan was to use his stamina to come from off the pace.
He was very well supported, right down to 6/1 by th off time.
Come race time there was very little early pace and our selection was a bit too keen, running right up with the pace.
He took second place with three to jump and looked to be set for the place money at the very least.
However, he tired badly from there and could only manage 6th place despite still being in with a shout of 3rd when jumping the last.
Some great racing to look forward to towards the end of the week.
We have a few lined up although some more horrendous weather is forecast on Thursday so we will play things by ear.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
One account bet for us today, a much better run.
Iver Bridge Lad, 1pt e/w @ 20/1 ran a great race for us when an account bet last month when nabbed on the line at 10/1.
He needs some give in the ground and 7 furlongs and although the ground could have been softer, he was fancied to be at least placed by connections today.
He went off a 16/1 chance and tracked the pace on the outside of the pack.
He was switched to the outside with around 3 furlongs to run and came with a sustained run to take the lead with around 300 yards to go.
Near the line he was worn down and could only manage 4th, beaten a short head, a head and a neck.
A great run and one that looked like a winning run for a long time.
Some great racing tonight with the Breeders Cup meeting.
We won't be having any financial interest in the card but will watch the races all the same. Good luck to anyone who is playing tonight though.
Unlikely there will be an account bet tomorrow but we will know more in the morning.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
One account bet for us today. A decent run but not a winner.
Galpin Junior, 3pt win @ 2/1 (B.O.G. returned 11/4) had been an unlucky loser when an account bet for us a couple of runs back.
He has since switched yards and settled in well.
Our selection drifted to 11/4 at the off and this was mainly due to support for a couple of the bigger priced runners in the race.
He broke on terms but was pushed along inside the first furlong, which isn't too rare considering his style of running.
He started to get on terms with a furlong or so to go and was switched from the rails into the middle of the track.
He looked to be getting up inside the final furlong and traded very short odds on but failed to get up with George Baker's Avonvalley holding on by half a length.
A decent run but not a winning run unfortunately.
Lots to look forward to this month as the flat season comes to a close on Saturday and the NH season gets underway properly.
There may well be an account bet tomorrow as there are one or two interesting runners. We won't be sure until we have made a call or two in the morning though.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
The best thing that can be said about October is that its now over!
In complete contrast to last October (where we showed over 100 points profit) we ended this month 35 points behind.
A couple of results to catch up on since we last blogged.
We had two account bets on Friday.
Cloudy Too 1.5pt e/w @ 10/1
First time under rules over hurdles this one was fancied to put in a big run after working very nicely at home.
Unfortunately he went lame with around a mile to run and was pulled up.
We also backed Tweedy, 2pt win @ 11/2 in the evening over in Ireland.
An impressive performance from this filly last time out was fancied to be repeated as she had improved further for that run.
She was well backed into 7/2 at the off but couldn't get the eraly lead she required and finished mid division.
On Saturday we had one small win bet.
Elas Diamond, 3pt win @ 3/1
She was another one who was very impressive last time out and had improved further for the run. The 3/1 didn't last long after our message was sent so we recorded her at 11/4 for our results.
Another of our selections to be supported very well in the market, she went off the 7/4 favourite.
She looked set to win, travelling well and taking the lead inside the final furlong. Unfortunately she edged right under pressure and was caught in the final 100 yards and could only manage second.
One small account bet today.
Hatman Jack, 1pt e/w @ 14/1 was a horse who could surprise at a big price.
Fitted with a tongue tie and cheekpieces as well as a return to his favourite surface made connections hopeful taht he would regain some of his old zip.
Unfortunately this was another horse that finished lame, being virtually pulled up with a couple of furlongs to go.
A really poor month is now at a close.
We have at least 12 horses earmarked to run in November as well as one plot horse to pay the stable staff's Christmas bonus money. (Last years one won at 7/1)
We are both hopeful and confident November will bring about a big improvement in results.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
A very much needed winner from our only account bet today.
Kack Handed, 3pt win @ 5/1 was fancied today after his run last time out was under the wrong conditions.
He hates going right handed so was expected to put up a big show on todays left handed track.
Given the recent form we have been in we thought long and hard about putting up a maiden as an account bet but fortunately we did!
Kack Handed jumped pretty poorly throughout but was given a very srtong ride to get up close home to win by half a length.
There were a couple of small rule 4's but today still yielded a much needed profitable day.
Hopefully this is a corner turner. Fingers crossed!
They may well be an account bet tomorrow but we will know more in the morning.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
The bad run continues with two more account bets today.
First up was Durante Aligheiri 1.5pt e/w @ 12/1
This is thought of as a high class horse at home and has been showing up well with some of the yards better runners.
Quite simply he hated the ground and ran no race whatsoever.
He is a lot better than this and is one for the notebook.
Secondly we had Woodlark Island 3pt win @ 3/1
The yard were hoping to get an uncontested lead for this one who ran into a well handicapped sort last time out.
Unfortunately he was taken on for the lead throughout and although he traded just above evens with one to jump could only manage 3rd.
The awful October continues. We have said this quite often over the last few weeks!
Credit must go to our members through this terrible run though as we haven't had one member complain.
Many (over 80%) have been with us for well over a year so are obviously playing with decent profits but a run like this is felt by everyone. Hopefully we will be through it soon.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
October continues and so does our poor run.
Two small account bets today but no good.
Madawi, 1pt e/w @ 12/1 was given one last chance today.
Highly thought of by the yard this horse has yet to produce the goods on the track.
He was well supported into 7/1 at the off but struggled to get into the race until the final furlong.
He finished well but was never in contention, grabbing 4th on the line.
Maybe this horse may be seen to be as good as the yard believe he is next season when stepped up to a mile or further.
Our second bet was from the same yard. Zaidan, 1pt e/w @ 20/1 put in a poor run last time out but there were plenty of excuses for that.
He went off a 16/1 chance and dwelt at the start slightly.
There wasn't a fast early pace and he was soon close enough but when asked to make an impression approaching the final furlong he found little.
It could be argued that he was on the slowest part of the track but that may be clutching at straws.
So, the horrible run continues.
This is probably our worst run since last summer when were couldn't buy a winner.
We will keep at it and things will turn round soon. Hopefully very soon!
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Our horrible run is October continued today with two small account bets.
First up was Sworn Tigress, 2pt win @ 3/1.
A fairly decent horse on the flat, she has schooled fairly well. Although her jumping will improve in time she was thought to be too classy for the opposition today.
She was held up in midfield and not jumping too badly but hit a hurdle 4 out and faded quickly from there. She was eased down and returned slightly lame.
Next up was Starshine, 1.5pt e/w @ 10/1.
This filly has been very slow to come to hand this season but was showing more at home and the step up in trip was expected to help.
She was well supported down to 7/1 at the off but the lack of early pace didn't do her any favours.
She struggled to pick up when some pace was injected with 3 furlongs to run. Once she got going she picked up well but could only manage to finish 5th. beaten just over a length for 3rd.
So, the extremely difficult October continues.
Ironically last October was our best month ever but October 2010 has been very poor.
Hoping for a big change in fortunes very soon.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
A slight improvement on Saturday in that both our selections ran well enough.
First up was Delegator, 4pt win @ 2/1
He won well four weeks ago and had come on a lot for that run which was his first outing of the season.
He was very well supported and went off the 6/4 favourite.
He travelled well enough early on and was switched to the outside with a couple of furlongs to run. He didn't get the clearest of runs from there but in all honesty didn't look to have the turn of foot that would have been expected from him to put the race to bed.
He could only manage 4th, beaten about 3 lengths.
In hindsight he was running on the slowest part of the track and this run wasn't as bad as it first appeared. He may now go to the Breeders Cup meeting.
Second up was Buxted 1pt e/w @ 20/1
This horse had a very hard race in tricky going at Longchamp in May and was given a long time off to recover from that race.
He was in desperate need of his comeback race and was in much better shape for this run.
He went off a 12/1 chance and was settled at the rear of the pack to try to ensure he got the distance.
He stayed on well inside the last half a mile and although he was never going to catch the winner he managed to get us the each way money and get 3rd.
The ground was softer than he would really want and hopefully if the ground comes up right we might get a winner from this horse before the season.
Overall a break even day and both horses ran ok considering different 'excuses' for their performances.
We have a few interesting runners lined up this season as a few trainers are desperate to get wins from certain horses before the flat season comes to an end.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Close to a small change in fortunes today with one account bet.
Lamasaas, 1.5pt e/w @ 10/1 was expected to improve on recent showings today.
An account bet for us a few months ago when he ran very green, he had been given some time away from the track to grow and mature.
A much better run was expected today.
He didn't break too well and pulled very hard, thus being held up at the rear of the pack.
He was produced on the outside inside the last two furlongs with a good run and although he never looked likely to catch the impressive winner, Desert Law, he looked set to be placed.
However, he couldn't quite get 3rd place and only managed 4th.
Some great racing tomorrow and we have at least one account bet lined up.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Poor stuff again yesterday with two small account bets.
First up was Lhermitage, 2pt win @ 7/2.
This one was very green on debut and expected to improve dramatically for that run.
He went off 10/3 but was pretty much as green as his debut run and never posed a threat. Very disappointing.
Second up was Expensive Problem, 2pt win @ 8/1.
The 8/1 went as soon as our message was sent out so we settled this as 7/1. Not that it mattered much!
He was expected to show improved form now back to his best trip after starting to show more at home.
Unfortnately he ruined his chances by pulling much too hard on the outside for the first half of the race.
Poor stuff and our miserable October continues.
Fortunately we have staked very sensibly but are now 14.5 points behind for the month.
Its unlikely there will be a bet today but there is some great racing coming up on Friday and Saturday.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today and we picked the wrong one unfortunately.
Williams Way, 2pt win @ 9/2 was thought to be well handicapped after a run over a trip too short for him last time out to get him ready for this race.
This race had been the target for a while but we were also aware that George Baker's yard thought Bugsy's Boy was on a handy mark.
The message for Williams Way was stronger in our opinion, unfortunately!
Money came for much of the field as many of the runners were cleary fancied.
Williams Way was put to sleep at the rear of the field and made eye catching progress progress with around half a mile to run.
He looked to fail to stay though and went from looking a challenger to having no chance within a furlong.
Bugsy's Boy by this point was in front and stayed on bravely to win at 15/2.
Very frustrating when we have more than one message in a race and pick the wrong one but it does happen unfortunately.
Lots to look forward to this week though and we are hoping for a big turnaround in fortunes as October has been very disappointing so far.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Two account bets for us today, both each way.
First up was Genki, 2pt e/w @ 11/2. B.O.G. paid 6/1.
This one is considered unlucky to have only won one race this season as he has been unlucky in running a couple of times and not had the best of draws.
He was pushed along at halfway but picked up very nicely to take the lead inside the final furlong.
Unfortunately for us, Bewitched came from out of the pack to pick up our horse inside the final 100 yards. Genki finished second, beaten just under a length.
Secondly we had Poets Place 2pt e/w @ 7/1
This horse was considered still very well handicapped. An unlucky loser last time out he was fancied to gain compensation here.
He was well supported down to 9/2 by off time.
He broke well and was up in the front rank for the first 3 furlongs but was then pushed along.
He faded close home finishing a disappointing 11th.
Maybe he was drawn on the wrong side as the winner came up the rails but more likely would be that he has had a hard season and just didn't run as well as expected.
Overall a 3 point loss on the day.
There will probably be a bet tomorrow but nothing certain at this stage.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Two small account bets today, neither of them running well.
First up we had Abbakhan 1pt e/w @ 8/1
This horse was given a fairly easy time on his debut when he was as green as grass. He was expected to improve a great deal for the outing.
He was well backed into 5/1 and looked to be travelling well for the first half of the race but when they quickened up he found very little.
Connections later said the tacky ground was the reason the horse ran so poorly.
Secondly we had Petella 3pt win @ 7/4.
This one won well last time out and she was expected to follow up today.
She had run well in all of her races this season... until today.
The plan was always to settle her in the rear of the pack and come through late. She was held up right at the back of the pack but, similar to Abbakhan, found very little when being asked to quicken.
Two poor runs today which takes us to -6.5 points on the month.
There may well be a bet tomorrow but that won't be certain until tomorrow.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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A quick catch up from us as its been a busy few days or so at SimpleBet HQ!
We had two account bets on Saturday.
First up was a very rare 1p win bet.
Madawi, 1pt win @ 22/1 is thought to be a very decent horse at home.
He ran well first time out in a decent maiden and then put in a run that was much better than it looked at face value last time out.
There was very little each way value in the race so we decided to play win only.
He was backed into 16/1 and ran a fair race without looking likely to win.
We had a similar situation with Elkmait from this yard recently.
They were convinced she was a decent animal on their hands but didn't show up to be as good as they rated her when she was on the track.
We backed her a few times and she disappointed each time. As soon as we decided to leave her alone, she hacked up!
Keep an eye on Madawi as that may well be the case soon...
Second up was a desperately unlucky loser.
Iver Bridge Lad, 1pt win @ 10/1 had been waiting for some give in the ground and a 7 furlong race.
He went off at 9/1 and was always travelling well along the rail.
From a couple of furlongs out it looked unlikely a gap was going to appear and he was switched left around a few horses for a run.
He came with a rattling late finish and just failed to get up, finishing a short head second.
A stride after the line he was a neck in front but those are the breaks.
Half a point in profit on Saturday but a short head away from an extra 10 points profit.
There were no bets on Sunday but one small bet today.
Squires Gate, 2pt win @ 9/4 normally loves to get his toe in and was thought to be well handicapped in this tricky looking race.
Because of the desperate ground we kept stakes very small.
He went off the 2/1 favourite but ran no race at all.
He looked to sulk when he couldn't get the lead early on as he likes and was hanging badly after just 2 furlongs.
A very disappointing run.
The rest of the week looks pretty unsettled so we will be keeping stakes sensible until it settles down.
That said, there are a lot of interesting runners tomorrow so its likely there will be at least one account bet.
We have had a lot of recent interest in our service over the last few days so we must have had some favourable mentions somewhere.
Not too sure where that was but its most appreciated!
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One small account bet for us today on a very wet day.
Mishtaag, 1pt e/w @ 11/1 was fancied to show a good deal of improvement after a long time away from the track. Clive Brittain's runners are now starting to run a bit better after a very quiet spell.
Stakes were kept very small as there is plenty of rain around.
Mishtaag was very well supported, down to a tight 6/1 at the off.
Seb bounced him out in front and he bagged a nice rails spot. He led until about 3 furlongs out and then found very little and faded from there.
The feedback from the yard was that he hated the ground and was never travelling well on it.
He is a much nicer horse than this and may yet run again this season if the ground is suitable.
As we mentioned earlier, there is lots of rain around.
Tomorrow is forecast to be drier but Friday looks set to be very wet and we will be playing very carefully until things settle down.
There is every likelyhood there won't be a bet until Saturday at the earliest if the ground does turn out as expected.
If there is no bet tomorrow we will finish September 16 points in profit.
However, its been a very difficult month and not a very enjoyable one.
We had a fantastic treble early on in the month. Since then, more selections have run poorly than well but it is a very difficult time of the year.
To have a run like we have had recently but still be profitable at the end of the month is pleasing though.
The most important thing is profit and September will be our 7th profitable month from the 9 so far in 2010.
2008 showed 10 winning month from 12 and 2009 showed 9 winning months from 12.
We aren't quite at the level of overall profits of previous years but are still well in front with 98 points profit so far in 2010.
Many of the 'major services' have struggled this year for some reason.
Given what they charge and the lack of transparency from many of them we are still extremely proud of what we offer and our performance so far.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today, over the jumps at Sedgefield.
Southerness, 4pt win @ 2/1 - B.O.G paid 11/4 - was well fancied on his first run for the Pipe yard.
He had had problems with his jumping in the past but has been well schooled and was thought to be much better than these, with a clear round.
The key words there were with a clear round!
In a very strange market he was well supported down to 6/4 before support came in for Ashammer (4/1 into 2/1) causing Southerness to drift out to 11/4.
Jumping is the name of the game and Southerness didn't jump very well at all.
He jumped a couple early on a little high until looking to get the hang of things. However, he all but unseated at the third last and his chance was gone from there.
The official form line of "mid-division, going well when stumbled badly and lost place 3 out, in rear, rallied after next, stayed on from last" is probably a little generous but it would have been a much closer race barring that bad mistake.
We have nothing lined up for tomorrow yet but one of our best yards has a few runners and we will know more in the morning.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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A much better day yesterday although we were made to wait for it.
We have three account bets, including Poet's Voice, advised at 16/1 on Thursday morning.
First up was Sunny Game, 2pt win @ 4/1.
It was thought this lightly weighted horse would relish the ground and the step up in trip and could be a bit better than his rivals.
He was dropped in at the rear of the pack but asked to make some progress with 3 furlongs to run. There wasn't a great deal of response in a race where the runners looked to be running in slow motion in the latter stages.
He plodded on but was never dangerous.
Second bet was Judicious, 3pt win @ 7/4. B.O.G. returned 9/4
This horse was another who was expected to relish the softer ground. He had been given a nice rest since his only run and had matured since then.
He was very disappointing, never looking the winner at any stage of the race.
The day was starting to take the all too familiar look of much of the last three weeks.
However, we had one bet to run.
Poet's Voice, 2pt e/w @ 16/1 was sent out to members on Thursday morning.
We knew Canford Cliffs was a very doubtful runner and needed to make the most of this opportunity before news got out.
An hour or so after our message the news broke that Canford Cliffs was a non runner and Poet's Voice was trading around 7/1.
The yard have spent a lot of time getting Poet's Voice to learn to settle more in his races and this looked a fantastic betting opportunity, especially for an each way bet.
He settled very well near the rear of the pack and Frankie started to bring him with a sustained run inside the last 2 furlongs.
He always looked like he was going to get there but left it until the very last moment, getting up by a nose on the line.
A fantastic ride from Frankie and, even though we are blowing our own trumpet here a little, some great information knowing Canford Cliffs wouldn't run - thus taking advantage of a market that was massively in our favour.
That nose victory turned our month around completely, pushing us back into a profit of 22 points for September.
Before we go, we must mention the amazing performance from Frankel.
Some will say he hasn't beaten very much to date but you can only beat what's in front of you and he has done this in most impressive style.
He looks every inch a Guineas winner in the making.
Just a word of warning though for those considering backing him for the Derby. Henry Cecil is far from certain that he will stay the Derby distance, making him poor value at 5/2 or so in our book.
A similar price for the Guineas though looks very fair.
It will probably continue to be fairly quiet this week.
It is a very tricky time of the year as the flat season approaches its end, with the ground looking quite changeable.
We will continue to pick our punches and stake sensibly.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet for us today, a desperately unlucky loser.
Galpin Junior, 2pt win @ 7/2 had been an unlucky loser in his last two runs and was now felt to be well handicapped.
We ended our message to members with the words "... with a bit of luck in running he should be bang there at the business end"
If only we had a bit of luck in running!
He was well supported right down to 13/8 at off time.
When the gates opened he missed the break and came out two or three lengths behind the other runners. Never a good thing in a 5 furlong sprint...
He started to make good progress with a couple of furlongs to go but needed to be switched for a run. He was running on very well at the finish but was again denied a run up the rails and finished 3rd, beaten just over half a length.
There is no doubt this horse was about 3 or 4 lengths better than we saw today but these things are a part of racing.
One for the notebook is all we can say.
Early this morning we recieved notification that Canford Cliffs was a very unlikely runner in the QE2 stakes at Ascot so we sent an account bet out of 2pt e/w, Poets Voice @ 16/1.
Sure enough, Canford Cliffs has been pulled out and the race is down to 8 runners.
Lets hope they all go to post for each way purposes...
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Two account bets for us yesterday and still no change in fortunes.
First up was a horse we had backed before, Rimth 3pt win @ 2/1.
This horse has run three good races so far this season and is arguably unlucky to have only won one race. She continues to improve at home and was fancied to win this.
She was well supported down to 11/8 by off time but ran a very flat race. She was far too keen early and failed to pick up as expected, although she didn't get the clearest of runs.
A disappointing run.
Second was a horse we have been waiting a while for.
Madawi, 2pt e/w at 8/1 is thought of as a possible Guineas horse for next season. He was fancied first time out although not fully wound up for that race and was much fitter today.
There was a rush of money for this horse by off time and he went off the 4/1 second favourite.
He completely missed the break and was he was at the rear of the pack for much of the race. He didn't get the best of runs with around 2 furlongs to run and was switched to the outside of the pack. He really picked up well inside the last 100 yards to be a fast finishing 4th. The worst place to finish for an each way bet!
Considering the plan was to break well and race up with the pace as he did last time this was a good run although no good to us financially.
If he is good enough to run in the Guineas or not is open to question. He will probably run in the Racing Post Trophy next and we will know a lot more after that race.
Its been a really poor two weeks with 36 points lost in this period.
Unfortunately bad runs do happen. They are part and parcel of racing. We have to stick at it and work through it.
Nothing has changed. Our sources are the same but many of the horses are just not running as expected.
Most are being well backed - 2/1 into 11/8 and 8/1 into 4/1 yesterday for instance.
We will keep at it and hopefully turn things around.
We will be picking our punches carefully this week as we will desperately be trying to get back into profit for September.
September 2009 was a losing month for us but October 2009 was our best month to date with over 100 points profit in that month.
Although this year hasn't been quite as prolific as the last two years we are still 70 points in profit to date. This time last year we were 150 points up.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet today, a very disappointing one.
We have been waiting for Ardent, 5pt win @ 9/4 to run for a while now.
She is a promising filly and showed why she is highly thought of by winning in good style last time out. Todays handicapo mark looked more than fair for this filly who is thought of as potentially group class.
She was well backed into 6/4 by off time and bounced out in front pretty much as soon as the stalls opened.
She travelled well in front until about 300 yards from home when she found very little and dropped back. She was eased from there.
We don't know the reason for the poor run at this stage but she just didn't run her race today. Something was amiss as she is a lot better than this run.
There is a good chance of a bet tomorrow and there should be at least one bet on Saturday.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Two account bets today, both running very poorly.
We started off with Glendaragh, 2pt win @ 7/2.
There was a good word from our Irish contact for this one who was said to be working well at home now after a fairly easy introduction to racing in his first run. The ground was a slight concern so we kept stakes low.
He broke prominently but race extremely green throughout, particularly round the bend where he lost his action somewhat.
He wasn't given a particularly hard race once it was clear he couldn't win and came home in sixth place.
Our second bet was Royal Rock, 2pt win @ 11/4.
He had been out of action for a while after gaining an abscess on his lung but is now back in the swing of things and looking much better at home.
He goes well fresh so the time away from the track was no real problem.
He travelled very in behind the main pack but was bumped into as the rest of the runners jockied for position with a couple of furlongs to run.
He looked to go slightly lame from there and was nursed home.
A disappointing day overall and we have gone from what looked to be a superb month to a very slight profit of just one point.
Hoping for a big change in fortune soon. Hopefully this week as we have a couple lined up for later in the week!
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Two small account bets yesterday but unfortunately no winners.
We started off with Bounty Box, 2pt win @ 2/1.
The general feeling was that if she handled the track she would win.
She won easily in this grade last time out but Goodwood is a difficult track and not every horse takes to it.
Unfortunately for us, she didn't!
She was never travelling and simply hated the track.
A lovely filly though and she may have one more run before the season ends. We won't give up on her and may get our stake back next time.
Our second account bet was Marzante, 2pt win @2/1.
Roger Charlton's horses are in fine form and this one was thought to be well handicapped after just two runs.
He was well supported down to 11/8 and looked to be in a position to challenge with a furlong to run but didn't find much of a change of gear from there. He could only manage 3rd.
Possibly the horse wants further but its more likely he isn't quite as good as connections thought he was.
A very disappointing week overall after a superb start to the month.
There are no account bets today but we already have one or two to look forward to in the week ahead.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Two account bets for us today. Both ran well but frustratingly failed to win.
We started of with Supercharged, 3pt win @ 2/1.
Chris Wall's filly is thought to be quite classy and had been given two months off to continue to mature after he decent debut 3rd.
She was quite excitable on the way to post but continued to be well backed, starting at 6/4.
In the race she was also a bit lit up and was ridden closer to the pace than planned. She tracked the leader and struck the lead with a furlong to run. Unfortunately for us, Carrignavar was travelling ominously well and our filly gave him a great lead through.
Both horses drew 10 lengths clear of the rest of the pack but we could only manage 2nd, beaten just under a length.
Our second account bet was in the Doncaster Cup.
Motrice, 2pt win @ 9/2 was receiving a handy weight allowance and is improving all the time.
The cut in the ground and step up in distance were also expected to be an advantage for this filly today.
She went off at 4/1 and was settled in rear for the majority of the race. She was niggled along to make some ground inside the last half mile but was a tricky ride and edged left slightly.
She didn't get the clearest of runs inside the final furlong as she was starting to stay on well but thats no real excuse for her not winning.
She finished 3rd, beaten about a length and a half. She probably would have been second with a clear run but either way it was a 2 point loss for us.
Frustrating results today but pretty much all our account bets continue to run very well.
Of the 10 account bets we have had in September, 3 have won; 3 have finished second; 2 have finished 3rd and 2 have been unplaced.
Overall the info is spot on but things haven't been quite falling for us.
That said, we remain 9 points in profit for September although we were 25 points to the good at close of play on Saturday.
There will almost certainly be an account bet tomorrow, a day where there are a lot of interesting runners.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One account bet today; a disappointing one.
Miss Zooter, 3pt e/w @ 8/1 was a strong account bet for us.
A good winner when an account bet for us last time out she was fancied to continue her winning run today.
A step up in class today, but it was hoped she would take it in her stride as connections believe she is a group horse in the future.
She was well backed overnight but drifted back to 8/1 on course.
She missed the break slightly but was soon racing mid division although moving well enough.
Switched to the outside to make her run with 3 furlongs to go she found very little and could only finish mid division.
Its possible she was racing on the slowest part of the track but more likely that she was thought of as better than she actually is.
Its been a poor week so far after a superb Saturday but we are still 14 points in profit for the month so far and this is the first horse that has actually run badly.
Its possible there will be an account bet tomorrow but not certain at this stage.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One small bet for us today.
Group Therapy, 2pt win @ 3/1 was fancied to gain a well earned win after often getting over excited at the start.
It was a difficult race on a very trappy card so we kept stakes very sensible.
He was quite well supported although the fact he went off 15/8 favourite was more to do with the withdrawl of Tax Free shortly before race time.
He was held up and looked set to be in a good position to challenge, making good headway inside the last two furlongs. Unfortunately he didn't quicken as hoped and could only manage 3rd, beaten just over a length.
We have a strong account bet at Doncaster for tomorrow that we have already sent out to members as we don't expect the price to last.
We are also looking at potentially two more bets but will know more about those in the morning.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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One small account bet for us today.
Common Touch, 3pt win @ 2/1 was fancied to follow up a win when an account bet for us six weeks ago.
He has continued to improve for that run but was in a very tricky looking handicap so stakes were kept low.
He drifted slightly to 9/4 by off time as support came in for three other horses in the race.
He was held up in the middle of the pack but never looked to be travelling well enough to get close enough to land a blow. He still looked pretty green in running and although this wasn't the best of performances, isn't one to give up on.
Its unlikely there will be a bet tomorrow as the racing is pretty poor but we will know more in the morning.
Some great racing towards the end of the week with the St Leger meeting though and we are looking forward to one bet there in particular. Hopefully the rain will stay away and the going will remain stable.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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Some punters believe Saturday is the worst day to have a bet for punters. It wasn't for us today.
We had 3 account bets, which is rare for us.
First up was Kansai Spirit, 3pt win @ 4/1
This was a Bet365 special offer race where if you back the winner at 4/1 or above you get a free bet to the same value in the next special offer race.
We always urge all members to open an account with Bet365 if they don't have one and this is just one of the reasons. If you don't already have one, join direct from this link http://www.simplebet.net/free_racing_bets.htm and we give you 2 weeks free membership. This is valid for new and existing members.
Anyway, back to the first bet.
Kansai Spirit was thought to be very well handicapped. He has improved tons for being gelded and continues to improve.Everything was in his favour today and a winning run was expected.
The 4/1 we suggested was soon snapped up and we were ready to settle at 7/2 but he drifted back to 4/1 on course.
He was kept in the middle of the pack and always travelled well. He started to make sustained progress with around half a mile to run and was driven into a lead inside the final 2 furlongs. From there it became a battle and we envisaged a third account bet finishing 2nd in the trot. However, he battled on very well though to stay on and win by just under a length.
Our second bet was also at Haydock.
Activate, 1pt e/w @ 8/1 was fancied to show improved form now on better ground and stepped up in trip. This was another horse who was felt to be well handicapped.
This was another horse who was held up for the majority of the race. He made good progress inside the last half mile, similar to Kansai Spirit and hit the front with around 300 yards to run. From there he was never likely to be caught and won well by a length and a half.
Finally we had Walcot Square, 3pt win @ 3/1.
He went slightly lame last time out and had been dropped by the handicapper for that run. Roger Charlton's runners are really starting to run well (as is often the case around this time of the season) and a trip to the winners enclosure was expected tonight.
He was well backed down to 15/8 by off time but never really travelled well throughout the race.
Similar to the 2 bets above though he started to make sustained progress inside the final 2 furlongs under a very strong ride from Stevie Drowne. He started to get on top inside the final furlong and won by a hard driven neck.
A superb day with 3 winners from 3 account bets.
A £10 treble would have paid £1800!!
Thanks to all the members who have already emailed us with comments on todays bets.
Emails are always appreciated if they are from a good day or a bad day.
Overall we showed a profit of 31 points on the day and today has shot us 25 points in profit for September.
Our 5 bets this month have had 2 seconds (both beaten under a length) and 3 winners.
There will almost certainly be at least one bet tomorrow.
We have an awful lot to look forward to before the end of the flat season as well as a lot already lined up for when the NH season starts properly.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
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