Thank you Frankie

A much better day yesterday although we were made to wait for it.

We have three account bets, including Poet's Voice, advised at 16/1 on Thursday morning.

First up was Sunny Game, 2pt win @ 4/1.
It was thought this lightly weighted horse would relish the ground and the step up in trip and could be a bit better than his rivals.
He was dropped in at the rear of the pack but asked to make some progress with 3 furlongs to run. There wasn't a great deal of response in a race where the runners looked to be running in slow motion in the latter stages.
He plodded on but was never dangerous.

Second bet was Judicious, 3pt win @ 7/4. B.O.G. returned 9/4
This horse was another who was expected to relish the softer ground. He had been given a nice rest since his only run and had matured since then.
He was very disappointing, never looking the winner at any stage of the race.

The day was starting to take the all too familiar look of much of the last three weeks.

However, we had one bet to run.
Poet's Voice, 2pt e/w @ 16/1 was sent out to members on Thursday morning.
We knew Canford Cliffs was a very doubtful runner and needed to make the most of this opportunity before news got out.
An hour or so after our message the news broke that Canford Cliffs was a non runner and Poet's Voice was trading around 7/1.
The yard have spent a lot of time getting Poet's Voice to learn to settle more in his races and this looked a fantastic betting opportunity, especially for an each way bet.

He settled very well near the rear of the pack and Frankie started to bring him with a sustained run inside the last 2 furlongs.
He always looked like he was going to get there but left it until the very last moment, getting up by a nose on the line.

A fantastic ride from Frankie and, even though we are blowing our own trumpet here a little, some great information knowing Canford Cliffs wouldn't run - thus taking advantage of a market that was massively in our favour.

That nose victory turned our month around completely, pushing us back into a profit of 22 points for September.

Before we go, we must mention the amazing performance from Frankel.
Some will say he hasn't beaten very much to date but you can only beat what's in front of you and he has done this in most impressive style.
He looks every inch a Guineas winner in the making.

Just a word of warning though for those considering backing him for the Derby. Henry Cecil is far from certain that he will stay the Derby distance, making him poor value at 5/2 or so in our book.
A similar price for the Guineas though looks very fair.

It will probably continue to be fairly quiet this week.
It is a very tricky time of the year as the flat season approaches its end, with the ground looking quite changeable.

We will continue to pick our punches and stake sensibly.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

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