Sunday 20 February 2011

Another great Saturday, just!

Lots of information flying around yesterday but we decided to stick to just one strong account bet.

Mille Chief, 6pt win @ 7/4 (B.O.G. paid 15/8) landed a maximum bet for us last month and in the middle of the week it looked like we would be going maximum here again.
However, the race cut up badly down to just 5 runners and for one reason or another we concluded there wasn't enough value to justify a maximum bet.

Money had come for Silviniaco Conti all day and that one was supported down to 7/4 favourite at the off, hence the drift in our selection.

Come the race Mille Chief travelled supremely well in the middle of the pack and moved up to second place on the bit approaching 2 out. Already trading around 1.4 it looked as though he would win in the same fluent style as he did last month when landing our max bet.
He took the lead and we were expecting him to go clear but Celestial Halo wouldn't go away and rallied really well and took up the lead again.
Fortunately for us, Celestial Halo made a real hash of the last, handing the upper hand back to our selection.
It was nip and tuck all the way to the line as Mille Chief prevailed by the minimum distance.

Possibly a lucky winner but in all fairness we have deserved some luck with a few going against us already this year.

That winner puts us just over 35 points in profit for February http://www.simplebet.net/11%20ResFeb.htm and just over 50 points in profit so far this year.

Lots of discussion after the race on how good or bad the performance by Mille Chief was and if it was true Champion Hurdle form.
Feedback from connections was that he pulled a bit too hard in the early stages and he didn't get on too well with the tacky ground.

Given that Silviniaco Conti was so well supported (it turns out connections believe this horse wants 3 miles) this could be a much better performance than it looks on paper.
True, Mille Chief only won by a nose but the front pair were 18 lengths clear of the third horse home and it may well be that Celestial Halo overachieved slightly.

If the ground is ok on the first day of the festival there is every chance we will be sticking with Mille Chief for an account bet on the day.
We are slightly biased though as he has now landedthe two biggest bets of the year for us this year.
We also have a small ante post bet at 110 on the exchanges ourselves!!

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/ 

2 comments:

  1. Hi SimpleBet,

    Congrats on another good result with Mille Chief.

    Would it be possible for you guys to replace the Keji Skeen link on the right with this one www.lonesomepundit.wordpress.com
    I've changed a few fundamentals of the blog one of which being the site address, perhaps foolishly.

    Many thanks Rich.

    ReplyDelete