Running a bit behind with the blog, apologies.
Three account bets to catch up on.
On Saturday we backed Rose Blossom 2pt e/w @ 20/1
This horse is exceptionally speedy and if she could get an early lead had a great chance.
She went off a 14/1 chance and ran a respectable race to finish 6th even though she didn't get the early lead.
Keep an eye on this one as she will win a big race over 5 furlongs on fast ground this year.
On Monday we backed George Baker 4pt win @ 9/4
The penny has finally dropped with this horse and they yard thought he may still be handicapped. He was going to continue to run until he got beaten and then be rested for a while.
Its rest time as he didn't run much of a race and was well beaten.
Yesterday we backed The Nifty Fox, 3pt win @ 6/1
There was a good word for this consistent horse who was expected to put in an improved show with the headgear back on.
He ran a cracker and was just nailed on the line by Ginger Ted and beaten a neck.
The winner ran a great race and just squeezed through a gap with a furlong to run to stay on strongly and get up close home.
No excuses for our runner but on another day that gap might not have been there for the winner to squeeze through. Such is racing life!
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Two account bets for us today.
First up was 4.10, Hadrians Rule 1pt e/w @ 16/1
This horse has been showing all the right signs at home and connections have waited for a 6 furlong race as he will get further in time. We sent our bets our at around 8.45 this morning as we expected them both to be well supported.
To say this runner was well supported is an understatement as he went off a 5/1 joint second favourite!The amount of money it takes to do this at a major meeting like York's Dante meeting should not be underestimated.
Unfortunately the racing gods still aren't looking down on us too kindly as the gates opened and all the horses started in a line... except ours.
He dwelt in the stalls and was left around 12 - 15 lengths. 75 on Betfair within 50 yards!
He showed a good deal of speed and although he had no chance of winning from that break he actually traded just 8.2 in running.
One for the notebook. Unfortunately everyone saw how unlucky this runner was and the cat is out of the bag. He won't be 16/1 next time out!
Second up was 4.55, George Baker 3pt win @ 11/4.
The original plan with this horse was to get some PR for the stable as George Baker could win the race, ridden by George Baker and owned by George Baker!
That plan was a while ago though and it took him 15 races to lose his maiden tag.
Now he has won the yard were keen to strike while the iron was hot and follow up in this race.
Another one to come in for a lot of money he went off the 11/8 favourite.
He broke well and from halfway the result was never in danger. The official formline was "tracked leaders, smooth headway over 2f out, led over 1f out, came clear final furlong, easily"
So a decent day for us but as we have said all too often it could have been so much better with some luck.
With Hadrians Rule today along with Haylaman and Beautiful Sound being beaten short heads we could easily be 50 points in profit for the month.
No point moaning about it though as we are boring ourselves, let alone anyone else!
Lots lined up including a strong account bet for tomorrow that has already been sent out to members. We expect this one to be well supported as well.
There will almost certainly be another strong account bet tomorrow, assuming the price is right.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
One account bet for us today.
One of our favourite stables sent out the quietly fancied Oscar Close, 3pt win @ 3/1
The selection was briefly available at 7/2 (for about a minute!) but the price disappeared as our message was being sent out.
We have a fantastic record with our George Baker bets when we are given the nod and expected this horse to be the subject of a big gamble and put in a big run.
He went off a well backed 9/4 chance and would have been much shorter but for the money for Beau Lake.
He was held up in 3rd place, tracking the front two and always looked to be travelling very smoothly. He traded slightly odds on coming to two out but didn't pick up well and could only manage 3rd to the also well backed Beau Lake.
Disappointing not to have backed the winner but the yard owe us nothing and have a couple lined up for the next week or two so we are very confident this will be 3 points just lent.
Elsewhere we released 2 ante post bets for Cheltenham and a bet for the Grand National to full members today.
With Cheltenham just over 2 weeks away and Aintree just over a month away things are getting very exciting now. If you are thinking of joining, don't delay as we are getting very busy with lots of interest in our service in the last few months in particular.
February is now at a close and we finished the month 22.4 points in profit although that does include the 10 points we have just placed on our ante post bets.
We have now shown a profit in the last 4 months and 9 of the last 10 months although a few of these months were very marginal!
The next few days look fairly quiet although we are hopeful of an account bet tomorrow all being well.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Another decent day today but again it could have been much much better.
Two account bets.
First up was Qalinas, 4pt win @ 2/1 (B.O.G. paid 5/2)
This horse was thought to be well weighted in his first time handicap and with a clear round was expected to take all the beating.
We were on course where there were many whispers for Rajamand as the race approached resulting in this horse being very well supported.
Qalinas touched 7/2 on course but was backed back in to 5/2 at the off.
He raced freely in the front pair and was always travelling smoothly. He took a clear lead with 3 to jump and was already trading well odds on.
He seemed to hit a soft spot of ground on landing after jumping 2 out and although he started to hang slightly he traded at 1.03. Still a length or so jumping the last but he tired in the last 100 yards to be nailed in the run in by Kadouchski.
Very frustrating to have another account bet trade so short and look all over the winner again but you have to take the rough with the smooth.
Our second bet was better.
Far View, 3pt win @ 3/1 is one of George Baker's who was fancied to show a lot more today.
Not an easy horse, he was fitted with cheekpieces in a bid to liven him up somewhat.
Another one of George's to be well supported he went off a very well backed 15/8 favourite.
He broke well from his poor draw and was pushed into an early lead.
He was kicked on into a clear lead with just over a furlong to go and although Loyal Royal close on him on the run in he never looked likely to be caught, running out a winner by just under a length.
The info from the Baker stable rarely lets us down and one member emailed in to say that it is worth the subscription fee alone!
So, another decent day where the info was spot on and really close to a nice double.
Of our 15 bets in February, 5 have won with 5 finishing second.
Three of these seconds (Kingsmere 1.04, Ackertac 1.18, Qalinas 1.03) have all traded very short without winning.
No point moaning about that though as luck does tend to come and go and if we are over 30 points in profit for February and still classing it as an unlucky month it says something.
We are hopeful of a bet tomorrow but with lots of rain forecast its not certain.
We are looking at a couple of ante post bets for Cheltenham and a possible Grand National bet which we may release on Sunday. Again, not certain but probable.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Two account bets since our last blog.
One poor, one very good!
Striker Torres, 3pt win @ 5/2 was fancied to lead all the way on a track he loves.
He had been running against some fairly decent horses for the grade and with an easy lead he was expected to be hard to catch.
Missing the break wasn't part of the plan!
He was rushed up to take the lead but was never really at ease and after three furlongs it was clear we were on a loser.
He was eased once headed inside the final furlong and finished 6th of 7 runners.
Our first poor run so far this month. One member likened the run to Fernando Torres performance on Sunday!
Much better stuff today with a massive gamble landed.
Jack's Revenge, 3pt win @ 4/1 was a proper George Baker lined up gamble.
The yard won this race last year when we had a 5pt win bet on another huge gamble landed by The Blue Dog.
Jack's Revenge had only been seen on the racecourse three times and shown absolutely nothing. That doesn't always matter though, as we know.
Going off a very heavily backed 5/4 favourite he was soon racing in the front rank.
Tony pushed him into the lead with half a mile to run and although we were given a few nervous moments when he didn't immediately pull away, he stayed on well enough under a strong ride to win by just over three lengths.
Few yards can pull off a gamble as well as George Baker's yard and our contact there has done us proud over the past few years.
Now they have moved to Whitsbury Manor Stables and the horses are starting to settle in there is a lot to look forward to from this yard over the next few months.
They have some decent horses this year and should make a real impact over the Spring and Summer.
There will probably be a bet tomorrow and it may well be sent out early again as there could be another gamble to look out for. We will know more in the morning.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
One account bet for us today and we picked the wrong one unfortunately.
Williams Way, 2pt win @ 9/2 was thought to be well handicapped after a run over a trip too short for him last time out to get him ready for this race.
This race had been the target for a while but we were also aware that George Baker's yard thought Bugsy's Boy was on a handy mark.
The message for Williams Way was stronger in our opinion, unfortunately!
Money came for much of the field as many of the runners were cleary fancied.
Williams Way was put to sleep at the rear of the field and made eye catching progress progress with around half a mile to run.
He looked to fail to stay though and went from looking a challenger to having no chance within a furlong.
Bugsy's Boy by this point was in front and stayed on bravely to win at 15/2.
Very frustrating when we have more than one message in a race and pick the wrong one but it does happen unfortunately.
Lots to look forward to this week though and we are hoping for a big turnaround in fortunes as October has been very disappointing so far.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
One account bet for us yesterday, Stefanki 4pt win @ 9/4.
This horse had switched yards to George Baker's and had settled in nicely, showing up very well at home.
Thought to be well handicapped on what he was showing at home, connections were on early and the money was down big time.
He missed the break somewhat and was settled at the back but once Tony Culhane brought him round the field approaching the final furlong there was only going to be one outcome.
He went on to be a very comfortable winner by just over 3 lengths at a well backed 6/4.
We said recently, the Baker yard know how to get one ready!
Our last 4 bets from the yard have yielded 2 winners and 2 arguably unlucky seconds.
Had the price for Explorator been better that would have been 3 winners from 5 runners.
We were hoping for 6/4 ish about this one, in which case we had a maximum bet lined up. Unfortunately he opened up odds on and although drifting slightly before the off, returned 4/6.
He was made to sweat for his win slightly with Sheila's Bond - possibly an unlucky loser - running a great race in second place.
This month has ben very frustrating as far as profits go. We are 3 points down for the month.
However, almost every bet has run well.
Of the 10 bets we have had 2 winners, 2 seconds, 3 thirds and 2 unplaced. Only Elkmait and Srda have run poorly.
Hopefully this will continue, but with more winners than placed efforts.
Lots of rain around the country today and we have nothing lined up as yet. We will wait to see what the morning phone calls bring to see if there is a bet or not.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Two account bets yesterday but Citrus Star, 2pt e/w @ 7/1 was a non runner.
He played up and refused to go in the stalls so we were left with just one bet.
Perfect Cracker, 3pt win @ 11/4 (best odds guaranteed returned 10/3) was reported to be one of the nicest two year olds in the yard.
They had waited until a 7 furlong race was available as the horse looks a thorough stayer at home and will get a lot further in time.
He ran well enough and looked to have a decent chance with a furlong to go but was rather one paced from there and could only finish 3rd.
The winner, Measuring Time and the second, Mazante could well be horses to stay on the right side of as this was a fairly decent race.
Elsewhere there was some fantastic racing taking place yesterday.
A superb (and very brave) ride by George Baker on Premio Loco to win the group 2 race.
We considered an account bet on this one but there was also a very strong word for Dream Eater so we left the race alone. It would have been a very nervy race to watch if our money was down!
It was also nice to see Greylami winning with ease for the late Terry Mills. We backed this as an account bet at a big price a couple of months ago when he finished lame.
Awful racing today. Mid July and the only racing on offer in England is over the sticks. Very strange race planning...
A couple of strong account bets to look forward to this week, especially on Wednesday and Friday all being well.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
A good day for members today that could have been a fantastic one with a bit more luck.
We started with Miss Zooter, 2pt e/w @ 7/1.
Taking a drop back in trip and a downgrade in class, connections felt this one may have got into this race quite lightly.
She was well backed into 5/1 by the off . Things were spot on until they went in the stalls!
She missed the break and the official form line is "in rear, not clear run 1f out, switched right and ran on towards finish under a hand ride, not reached leaders"
In truth it was more like "not clear run for 7 furlongs"
Its hard to say she would definately have won with a clear run but she would have finished a lot closer.
Fortunately the Channel 4 commentary team didn't make too much of a big deal about how unlucky she was so we may get a price next time out.
Our second bet of the day landed a right old touch.
Explorator, 4pt win @ 3/1 was well backed all day.
Improvement was expected for his handicap debut, now he was stepped up to a more appropriate distance. Improvement certainly came.
He was held up at the back of the pack and niggled along slightly after 4 furlongs or so. He stayed on consistently well from there and hit the front with a furlong or so to go and drew away.
A comfortable winner, landing a nice touch, he returned at 11/8.
We have another one or two to look out for from George Baker's yard over the next week or so.
They really are one of the best yards in the land to land a touch.
Elsewhere there were good words for two or three other horses that we could have backed.
Two of these also didn't get the clearest of runs so we won't mention their names as they may well be account bets soon. One has an entry for the weekend.
There should be a bet tomorrow but thats not certain until we take a few calls in the morning.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
