Showing posts with label Champion Hurdle. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Champion Hurdle. Show all posts

Sunday, 20 February 2011

Another great Saturday, just!

Lots of information flying around yesterday but we decided to stick to just one strong account bet.

Mille Chief, 6pt win @ 7/4 (B.O.G. paid 15/8) landed a maximum bet for us last month and in the middle of the week it looked like we would be going maximum here again.
However, the race cut up badly down to just 5 runners and for one reason or another we concluded there wasn't enough value to justify a maximum bet.

Money had come for Silviniaco Conti all day and that one was supported down to 7/4 favourite at the off, hence the drift in our selection.

Come the race Mille Chief travelled supremely well in the middle of the pack and moved up to second place on the bit approaching 2 out. Already trading around 1.4 it looked as though he would win in the same fluent style as he did last month when landing our max bet.
He took the lead and we were expecting him to go clear but Celestial Halo wouldn't go away and rallied really well and took up the lead again.
Fortunately for us, Celestial Halo made a real hash of the last, handing the upper hand back to our selection.
It was nip and tuck all the way to the line as Mille Chief prevailed by the minimum distance.

Possibly a lucky winner but in all fairness we have deserved some luck with a few going against us already this year.

That winner puts us just over 35 points in profit for February http://www.simplebet.net/11%20ResFeb.htm and just over 50 points in profit so far this year.

Lots of discussion after the race on how good or bad the performance by Mille Chief was and if it was true Champion Hurdle form.
Feedback from connections was that he pulled a bit too hard in the early stages and he didn't get on too well with the tacky ground.

Given that Silviniaco Conti was so well supported (it turns out connections believe this horse wants 3 miles) this could be a much better performance than it looks on paper.
True, Mille Chief only won by a nose but the front pair were 18 lengths clear of the third horse home and it may well be that Celestial Halo overachieved slightly.

If the ground is ok on the first day of the festival there is every chance we will be sticking with Mille Chief for an account bet on the day.
We are slightly biased though as he has now landedthe two biggest bets of the year for us this year.
We also have a small ante post bet at 110 on the exchanges ourselves!!

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/ 

Sunday, 14 November 2010

Weekend catchup

A quick catch up on where we have been at over the weekend.

We had one bet on Saturday and one bet on Sunday. A 1 point loss over the weekend.

Saturday's bet was American World 1pt e/w @ 28/1.
This horse has had a win operation and desperately needed his last run.
If the wind operation had worked as required he may well have caused a bit of a surprise.

Basically, it didn't appear to as the horse didn't really show.

A speculative bet but one that may have been worthwhile and not too much damage done overall.

On Sunday we backed Manyriverstocross, 2pt e/w @ 6/1.
This horse has a decent season last year which is more than can be said for Alan King's stable overall. He was unlucky in running a couple of times and was thought to be well handicapped with connections choosing this race instead of the November handicap last week.

He travelled pretty well throughout but ran into a decent one in the shape of Menorah.
Manyriverstocross managed to finish 3rd and get us the place money but was never travelling as well as the winner.

Menorah has to be a decent price at 12/1 for the Champion Hurdle, given how well he was travelling on a track that clearly suits him.

We have a couple lined up for the week ahead and the weather looks to be relatively settled.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

http://www.simplebet.net/