Monday, 17 May 2010

Caught a tartar

One account bet today and unfortunately we ran into a good one.

We backed Riflessione, 3pt win @ 3/1 at Bath.
Thought to be well handicapped and would love the ground, there were a few good words for this one this morning.
He ran a great race but ran into a really good winner.
Rifflessione wasn't drawn well but kept the wide course and hit the front with 2 furlongs out. However, Sometsuke picked up very nicely to draw level inside the final furlong and go clear. He went on to win by 5 lengths. Rifflesione finished 2 and a half lengths clear of the rest in second.

Its frustrating to bump into a good one like that but it happens. Our info was spot on but every once in a while we will catch one like that.

Fairly quiet time still expected for the rest of the week but there will be at least 2 bets between now and the weekend.
There seems little sign of rain in the near future so our maximum bet is still on hold until the ground eases. It won't be rushed so we must remain patient.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

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Saturday, 15 May 2010

Good prices, good runs

Good stuff yesterday and today with some good runs and a bit unlucky not to have a big priced winner.

On Friday we had 2 account bets.
Our first was Breedj, 2pt e/w @ 5/1. We had been looking forward to her reappearance as she had come on a ton for her first run.
The plan was to bang her out in front and try to make every post a winning one but that was a short lived plan when she missed the break. She ran on well though to get second, really getting the hang of things towards the end of the race.
If she had won the plan was to go straight to Royal Ascot and that may well still be the plan but in time she will be better over a slightly increased distance.

We also backed Murara, 3pt win @ 11/4 up at Hamilton.
Thought to have a lot of improvement in him stepping back up to 6 furlongs he was disappointing. No real excuses as the first 3 home pulled a long way clear and we weren't in with much of a chance of winning from halfway.

Today we had 3 account bets, all at decent prices.
First up was Petara Bay, 1pt e/w @ 22/1.
This runner had been off the track for almost two years but the race has been a long term target all season as he goes well fresh.
He ran a great race, despite hitting a bit of a flat spot 4 furlongs out and stayed on well inside the last 2 furlongs to finish 3rd, beaten about a length and a half. A great run at a big price.

Then we had Sunday City, 1pt e/w @ 16/1.
Thought to be well handicapped after badly needing his first run of the season but he went lame unfortunately. He hade a mistake at the 6th and was pulled up shortly after that.
Thats 4 account bets to go lame in the last month but its always a possibility on this hard ground we have currently.

Finally we finished the day in style with Captain Cool, 1pt e/w @ 6/1.
Another runner thought to be well handicapped after 2 false runs where he had to front run. The plan here was to drop him in off a fast pace and come through inside the final furlong.
The race went perfectly to plan as he stayed on well inside the final furlong to win by 2 lengths.
A nice way to finish the day.

Unusually we have had 5 bets in the last 2 days but the next few days look to be a bit quieter.
We have a maximum bet planned but we need some ease in the ground before this one will run. Its a very special horse and we will be hoping for a nice price first time out.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

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Wednesday, 12 May 2010

Good start to York, just!

A good day today but we were made to sweat for it.

We had two account bets.
First up was Summerinthecity, 3pt win @ 5/2 (returned 11/4.)
Thought to still be well handicapped he travelled nicely approaching two furlongs out and traded quite short in running when he hit the front. He was soon joined by the impressive winner, Kaptain Kirkup though and faded once passed. Maybe a drop back in trip will do the trip next time out. We won't give up on him just yet.

Our second account bet was Aviate, 3pt win @ 9/4. (returned 11/4.)
There was a very good word for this filly and we mentioned in our message that the 20/1 for the Oaks would crash if she won as expected.
She was working out of her skin at home and for the majority of the race it looked like we would be on another unlucky loser as she was trapped behind a wall of horses travelling nicely. However, she got a nice split on the rails but still looked to have it all to do. She proved what a good horse she is though and got up in the final strides. Revenge for Twentynineblack from Saturday already!
Aviate is now around 6/1 for the Oaks and that still looks fair value. She is 3 or 4 lengths better than this as she was denied a clear run a couple of times and the way she finished showed stamina won't be a problem.

More good racing tomorrow and we are expecting at least one account bet.

We have over a dozen horses we are waiting for who are expected to be out in the next fortnight. It promises to be a busy but fruitful period is all goes to plan!

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

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Saturday, 8 May 2010

Nabbed on the line, again!

Very unlucky with our only account bet of the day today.
Twentynineblack, 3pt win @ 7/2 always travelled nicely and was sent for home with a couple of furlongs to run. The race looked all over but the long run in did us and he was caught on the line by Montoya's Son. Great ride by the jockey on the winner.
Twentynineblack traded 1.11. in running and to be honest its surprising it wasn't shorter than that.

Strangely thats the second account bet that has traded 1.11 in running and been caught on the line in two weeks. Lowdown was the other one.
Adding in the fact that we have had two account bets going lame in the last couple of weeks (Greylami and Signs In The Sand) we might consider ourselves a little unlucky.

Luck does come and go in circles though so we won't lose any sleep over it.

Elsewhere today there was a good word for Tombi in the 2.00 and Pyrrha in the 2.10.
Both were each way fancies and neither race had 8 runners so we didn't play. Tombi ran a poor race but Pyrrha battled on well from her good draw to win well.

Mahonia is fancied in the 4.10 and there is a good word for Mahaala in the 7.20 tonight. Word is out on that one though and the price has crashed but its one to keep an eye on.

Its unlikely there will be a bet tomorrow but there is lots to look forward to next week.
There is some great racing with York's Dante meeting, a sign that the flat season has really arrived. If we are involved in any photo finished there we hope they will go our way!

We have a plot horse that is lined up for the middle of the week as well. It will only run if the ground is ok but the weather looks favourable at this stage.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

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Thursday, 6 May 2010

Wrong Signs

One small account bet for us today, Signs In The Sand 2pt win @ 2/1.
Word was that he was one of the better two year olds in the yard and had been waiting for the six furlong races for 2yo's. (Todays was the first of the season.)
He was supported down to 13/8 and travelled well enough, trading slightly odds on with two furlongs to run but then appeared to go wrong.
He was heavily eased from there by Frankie and unfortunately looked to go lame.

We were sensible in our staking as Goodwood can be a difficult track for many horses especially ones making their racing debut so not too much damage done.
This is a nice horse though and one to keep an eye on, especially when upped in distance.

Very little to report elsewhere other than a good word for Barrel Of Fun in the 6.35 (just about to run)
Fidelis was also fancied as an each way chance in the same race so we gave the race the swerve.

Some very interesting runners over the next two or three days, particularly tomorrow.
We hope to have an account bet or two but will know more in the morning.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

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Tuesday, 4 May 2010

Paris found

A nice and extremely welcomed winner today as Lost in Paris, 3pt win @ 5/2 landed a nice little touch.
Considered very well handicapped over the minimum distance he was well supported down to 7/4 and won with ease. Setting a fast pace, nothing could ever get close to him as he won by three and a half lengths, eased down.
Three of our last four account bets have now run very well (Lowdown, Riggins and Lost In Paris) with only Seta running poorly.

Elsewhere there was a good word for Colorado Gold in the 2.30 We were tempted by a small each way bet at 12/1 but the each way terms of 1,2,3 in a 15 runner race where only two or three runners could be realistically ruled out didn't suit us.
As it was he ran a good race, finishing 2nd @ 8/1. The winner, Fifth Ave landed a nice gamble (11/1 into 5/1) in very impressive fashion. With 4 future entries she will be very interesting if taking up one of those in the next few days.

Chester starts tomorrow. Some decent horses will be on show but there will no doubt be some hard luck stories around those tight bends.
We will be on course on Friday and have a bet lined up but we never stake too heavily there, because of the nature of the course.

There is a horse or two we are looking at already for tomorrow and there should hopefully be an account bet.

Until then, thanks for reading.

SimpleBet

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Sunday, 2 May 2010

Up, down, even

A couple of bets for members over the weekend ending up being all square.

We almost started the month is great style with Riggins, 1pt e/w @ 16/1.
We were on the right side of this fragile but talented horse all last season and he is still considered well handicapped.
He ran a great race to finish 3rd, beaten just half a length but was never quite getting there. If the rain that fell today had come 24 hours earlier it might have been a different story but we can't complain with 3rd at a decent price.

Not so good on Sunday with Seta, 3pt win @ 5/1 (best odds guaranteed returned 13/2)
We were in the paddock before the race and unfortunately she got very over excited there and lost her chance before even hitting the track. She drifted from 9/2 out to 13/2 and was never in the race in all honesty.
A great finish to the race and although its never nice to see a winner thrown out it was a fair result in the end.

Two days gone in May and we are level so far. Hopefully the very bad April is now behind us and May will be much better.

We have news of two planned gambles due to take place this week. Hopefully the recent rain won't postpone these. One is from one of our best trainers but more on that as the week goes on.

There will probably be a bet tomorrow, again ground depending.

Thanks for reading
SimpleBet

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