Just 3 bets so far this month and only 2 points profit so far but we feel its been a solid and slightly unlucky start to the month.
First bet was Mahadee, 1.5pt e/w @ 16/1.
Connections were on this one early so it was no surprise to see him drift out to 25/1 at the off.
We knew we could ignore his last 2 runs and an improved performance was expected this time.
He ran a cracker, even looking a likely winner inside the final furlong. Just getting run out of it close home he finished 4th. Hate it when each way bets finish 4th!
We have also backed Present Danger, 4pt win @ 11/4.
This was strongly fancied by the yard as they thought she was on a very good mark.
She ran a strange race, running in snatches and looked very green.
Not sure it was the best ride in the world but she may be a difficult horse currently so wouldn't want to moan too much about that.
She traded long odds on in running but could only manage 2nd.
One for the notebook though.
Yesterday we had to wait until 8.20 for our only account bet but it was worthwhile.
O Ma Lad, 3pt win @ 3/1 was fancied in a poor race now back on his favourite surface.
We were a bit concerned before the off when the favourite was backed off the boards (13/8 into odds on)
Annoyingly, as often happens with these evening markets where there are few on course punters our selection didn't drift from 3/1!
He was given a great ride to get up close home even though he had to switch round the pack in the home straight.
So 2 points in front for the month but with a 25/1 e/w finishing 4th and a win bet trading longs odds on and coming second we feel in decent form.
Unlikely there is a bet today although Dream Ahead looks a good thing over in France on going that will suit.
Too short for us at 11/10 or so though.
Quite a bit to look forward to this week providing the weather settles down and we get some stable going.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
July has been a very decent month for us.
13 bets so far and 30 points or so profit.
Pucking up where we left off, we had 2 eveing account bets which resulted in a decent double.
Dinkum Diamond, 5pt win @ 6/4 landed the money with little effort and George Baker, 3pt win @ 13/2 wore down the leaders with a sustained run to give us a cracking evening.
A few days later we had a big priced bet with Spring Stock, 1.5pt e/w @ 25/1.
He ran fairly well and looked like getting placed with a couple of furlongs to run but could finish only around 6th.
He is a lot better than he has shown recently and may well pop up at a big price soon...
2 bets last Saturday.
Ishbelle, 2pt e/w @ 7/1 was selected against a very well backed favourite.
She ran a cracker but could only get 4th. The worst place for an each way bet to finish when they pay 1,2,3 for a place!
Hoof It, 2pt e/w @ 5/1 restored order landing a massive nationwide gamble.
The result never looked in much danger, leaving us with another great SimpleBet Saturday!
Hoof It was available at 6/1 with Ladbrokes in shops but we prefered to take the 5/1 with Bet365 for a free bet as part of their 4/1+ Channel 4 offer.
That free bet ran on Tuesday.
Modun, 4pt win @ 7/2 was brought with a sustained late run and looked certain to get up. He traded at 1.07 in running but didn't quite get there.
Possibly not the best of rides by Mr Moore. His timing improved as the week went along!
Also that day we backed Warcrown, 4pt win @ 5/2.
The vibes have been very strong for this horse and although well supported he lost his race in the stalls.
He fretted up very badly, missed the break and then got bumped.
He never had a chance from there but this is a very nice animal and may even be classic bound next year.
A few emails from members after this run, suggesting the selection wasn't a wise one and in hindsight they were right.
Backing an unraced maiden at 5/2 at Goodwood wasn't a good move and wasn't great value however good he may be.
We live and learn and continue to improve through the help of our members.
A nice plot landed today as Teach Nua, 5pt win @ 5/2 was backed all the way into 6/4 before winning under a good ride.
He was given a prep race recently and this race has been the target for a while.
For a while he looked to be trapped behind a wall of horses with a double handful but when the gap came he powered through and did the job in style.
A much better month so far, much more like the form we should be in.
Just a final reminder that we are still half price to non members until 31st July. http://www.simplebet.net/join.htm
Prices will then revert to the normal £50 a month from 1st August.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Apologies for the very belated post...
We ended June in profit, mainly thanks to the run we have expected for a while from Dominant, 3pt win @ 13/2.
This has long been thought of as a very decent horse and although he let us down badly last time when seeing too much daylight he put the record straight with a very easy win.
The same day Federation, 2pt e/w @ 10/1 ran a good race to get 3rd. He runs again this evening and has a very good each way chance for anyone interested...
Taqaay, 3pt win @ 7/1 ended the month with a poor run but we managed to end June 6.5 points in profit from just 11 bets.
July started very poorly with most of our selections running below par in the first week.
Collateral Damage, 2pt e/w @ 8/1 and Lady Del Sol, 3pt win @ 9/2 were disappointing but the former will be winning soon. Keep an eye out!
Our biggest bet for a while, Mijhaar, 6pt win @ 5/2 was well backed down to 13/8 and found one too good.
There were excuses that he hit the front too soon but we believe its more likely he just ran into a better horse on the day.
Saturday was interesting and almost very, very frustrating.
First Cat, 2pt e/w @ 7/1 and Tropical Beat, 2pt e/w @ 6/1 both ran well(ish) but could only manage 4th. The worst place to finish for an each way bet.
First Cat could be considered possibly unlucky but looks like he may be a difficult horse to win with.
Tanfeeth, 2pt e/w @ 7/1 finished the day in good fashion with a gutsy win.
He looked all over the winner in running but in the end we should possibly be grateful that the Cumani horse didn't run straight inside the final furlong, allowing us to get back up.
Hopefully that is a bit of luck coming back our way.
We have two account bets this evening at Newmarket.
We are still half price for non members although this will end on 31st July.
Members have until 31st August to renew at half price.
Thanks for reading and apologies for the brief hiatus.
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
A poor week overall in which our current run of luck was summed up by our latest bet.
We backed Sluggsy Morant, 3pt win @ 13/8, Goodlukin Lucy, 1pt e/w @ 16/1 and Fifty Moore, 1pt e/w @ 33/1 on Bank Holiday Monday.
All can be summed up as running similar. Poor.
No excuse for any runner. At least the latter two were decent prices so that could be expected but Sluggsy was particularly disappointing.
On Tuesday we backed Dare To Dream, 4pt win @ 15/8 and Art Thief, 3pt win @ 15/2.
Dare To Dream ran well to finish second but ran into a very decent one that was well punted.
Art Thief was itself very well supported but failed to handle the track.
A bad end to a poor month.
Two bets on Saturday.
Only Witness, 2pt win @ 12/1 and Crimson Cloud, 4pt win @ 11/4
Only Witness ran well and finished 3rd. In hindsight we should have gone each way but the feeling was that if the headgear worked a big race was in order but if they didn't he could run another flat race.
Crimson Cloud was desperately unlucky.
The formline of "held up, headway 2f out, switched left and got through to challenge going well over 1f out, soon led, headed post" fails to mention the fact he also stumbled inside the final furlong.
In other news we have made some improvements to our service judged on members feedback. This is as follows:
1. We have reduced our prices and are currently half price. We will hold this price for current members until at least 31st August 2011. This will be available to the general public for a limited time, yet to be decided. (see number 5.) http://www.simplebet.net/join.htm
2. Starting in June, if we don't make a profit in a calendar month we will give you that month free by adding one month to your membership period. See bold text on http://www.simplebet.net/how_it_works.htm
3. We have probably had too many bets of late so will be aiming at 3-5 bets per week. We will start to put some of what we consider to be weaker information on our twitter feed. http://twitter.com/simplebet
4. We will send round late information by text only if we get any we feel is strong enough. There will be at least 30 minutes notice if there is a bet. If you are interested in this, please ensure we have your mobile number.
5. We will limit membership numbers. Because of the current run we have lost a few shorter term members. As soon as these are replaced we will close our doors to new members to protect prices.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBetwww.simplebet.net
We are looking at ways to cut down on our admin and one of those is to cut down on the amount of blogs we do.
The admin side of things is one of the least enjoyable parts of this job and we are cutting down on this in any way we can. Therefore we will be blogging once or twice a week with updates rather than almost daily.
On the plus side, we are running a June competition as our January one was such a sucess.
10 people will get membership until the end of 2011 for just £50 (the current cost of one month) and all you need to do to enter is email us quoting 'June'
Thats almost 7 months membership for the cost of just one month!
You have until midday on Sunday 5th June to enter and the offer is open to new and existing members.
Winners must pay within 48 hours of their place will be offered to someone else.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Three bets on Saturday and one on Sunday.
First up on Saturday was 2.15 Es Que Love, 4pt win @ 6/4.
This horse is the best two year old on the yard but threw away the race first time up when veering badly when the race looked sewn up.
If we could be sure he wouldn't do similar he would have been a maximum bet.
There was no real worry as he broke well and made all to win easily by just over 3 lengths.
Second up was 2.30, Triviality, 4pt win @ 9/4.
This one ran well on debut and was fancied to improve on that assuming he took to the turf.
He couldn't go the pace early on and despite staying on towatds the final furlong could only finish 4th.
Our final bet on Saturday was 4.45 Pink Sapphire 4pt win @11/8.
This horse is on of the nicer two year olds on the yard and was fancied tio make a winning debut.
Very well supported he went off an odds on favourite.
He travelled well and was in a strong position with a couple of furlongs to go but faded inside the final furlong.
A strange run and lots of money lost for connections on this one.
One bet for us today.
3.00 Baroque Star 1pt e/w @ 33/1 had been let down by his jumping of late.
He has been very well schooled and was expected to put in an improved performance today.
He started very sluggishly, jumping the first two fences slowly and was soon trading at 500 on Betfair.
However, he got the hang of things and was given a very good strong ride to get up for 3rd close home. A nice priced place bet landed.
A small profit over the weekend but we were hoping for a lot better.
Lots to look forward to the week including the Derby meeting of course.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
Two account bets today.
First up was Samitar, 2pt e/w @ 8/1.
This horse has been working very nicely with some of the beter two year olds in the yard and was expected to put in a big performance today.
She travelled nicely in the fronk rank throughout before being headed in the final furlong.
She stayed on well to get 3rd, beaten just under a length in 3rd place.
The first 3 home pulled 4 lengths clear of the remainder so the winner, Regal Realm and the second, Gamilati are worth keeping an eye on.
Second up was Blanche Dubawi, 3pt win @ 4/1.
This horse needed her first run of the season and was expected to run very well today, dropped in trip.
Another horse that travelled very nicely in running. She was with the leaders for much of the race and challenged for the lead inside the final furlong, trading 1.45 in running.
She veered under pressure and wandered over the track and could only finish second.
If she would have won the race had she kept to a straight line is questionable but it would certainly have been interesting.
Another one to keep an eye on.
We should have at least two account bets tomorrow.
In other news, we are looking to make some changes to the service over the next month or so.
Price, membership limit, late info by text etc.
If you have any suggestions please get in touch with us by email. The details are on our website.
Thanks for reading
SimpleBet
http://www.simplebet.net/
